[Mountain Man]

I'm a glass full kind of guy. I'll say 80k.

I hope not, house prices and rents will likely double since we aren't building 80 000 housing units this year!

 

[Rollerstud98]

I think Statscan does have numbers for various cities within the CMA and would include immigrant by source country. You might have to wait a year or so.

Airdrie will be doing a municipal census again this year. First one since 2019 and should see population near 80,000 now.

 

[UrbanWarrior]

They were growth of between 13 and 19,000 every five years for the last couple prior to Covid. I'll guess they're around 85,000 now.

 

[paratransit]

I just discovered that that Alberta Municipal affairs has shifted to population estimates instead of census numbers

Population statistics

See population estimates, projections, components of change, demographic spotlight reports and a list of demographic terms.

www.alberta.ca

and the data tables are

Alberta population estimates : data tables - Open Government

open.alberta.ca

and Alberta's 2022 population estimate for airdrie is 80222

get the XLS at:" https://open.alberta.ca/dataset/c45...us-subdivision-municipal-2016-to-current.xlsx

 

[Urban Outdoorsman]

Wow, if that trend keep up I could see us passing BC to become the 3rd most populous Province in the country with a decade or two.

 

[Surrealplaces]

Last year BC still grew by more people than Alberta, but not by much. 116, 946 for BC vs 99,338 for Alberta. That said, Alberta continues the paces its on and if inter-provincial and international migration levels stayed roughly the same we could end up catching up at some point.
Alberta also has a younger median age, and BC has almost 400K more people over the ago of 65. If Alberta can sustain strong growth for 20 years, it could catch up.

 

[UrbanRED]

Last year BC still grew by more people than Alberta, but not by much. 116, 946 for BC vs 99,338 for Alberta. That said, Alberta continues the paces its on and if inter-provincial and international migration levels stayed roughly the same we could end up catching up at some point.
Alberta also has a younger median age, and BC has almost 400K more people over the ago of 65. If Alberta can sustain strong growth for 20 years, it could catch up.

We also have a higher fertility rate. BC is the lowest in the country. I know immigration is the biggest driver of growth today, but the higher rate will keep us younger and add a buffer

 

[Surrealplaces]

We also have a higher fertility rate. BC is the lowest in the country. I know immigration is the biggest driver of growth today, but the higher rate will keep us younger and add a buffer

That and I firmly believe immigration patterns to Canadian cities are going to change, and actually have already been changing. It used to be immigrants arrived to one of the big 3 cities, mostly Toronto and Vancouver, and some then slowly filtered to other parts of the country. Immigrants are now going directly to a number of cities, and as the immigrant communities build in cities like Calgary, it will attract even more immigrants as friends and family will join those immigrants already in places like Calgary. It would be interesting to have a crystal ball and be able to see immigration numbers in 10 years, or even 7 years in 2030.
I know it's only anecdotal evidence, but almost every recent immigrant I've spoken with recently who lives in Toronto or Vancouver is exploring options for other cities. how many actually make the move out of those cities is hard to say, and time will tell, but the fact the fact they're looking into it, is a sign of change.

 

[Tarsus]

My guess for Calgary growth is low 49s, so let’s go with 44K.

 

[TysonR]

39K is my prediction.

 

[Chowda7]

CN Announces Plans for New Calgary Intermodal Transload Facility - Railway Age

CN, Trealmont Transport Inc. (Montship Inc.) and Kaptan US LLC announced March 27 that they have reached an agreement to develop a multimodal transload facility located in the Class I's Calgary Logistics Park. The new facility is expected to be operational in the third quarter of 2024.

www.railwayage.com

 

[CalgaryTiger]

On the subject of the SHAW/Rogers thing... Can someone explain how the Shaw Mobile and Freedom Mobile networks are at all different?

They're the same, yet on the Rogers release they say:
Rogers today reaffirmed the company’s merger commitments, including:

• Honouring a five-year price commitment for Shaw Mobile customers

So Shaw Mobile is Rogers' but Freedom is Videotron, how? Or perhaps Shaw Mobile customers (me) will be moved over to Rogers?

 

[Mountain Man]

Last of Us season 2 is rumoured to be filming in Vancouver by the end of the year. Not surprising, the Seattle parts wouldn't really work in Calgary. Disappointing nonetheless.

 

[darwink]

Last of Us season 2 is rumoured to be filming in Vancouver by the end of the year. Not surprising, the Seattle parts wouldn't really work in Calgary. Disappointing nonetheless.

Apparently Alberta will have around $100 million of production spending, so still quite a bit.

 

[smart_development]

Last year BC still grew by more people than Alberta, but not by much. 116, 946 for BC vs 99,338 for Alberta. That said, Alberta continues the paces its on and if inter-provincial and international migration levels stayed roughly the same we could end up catching up at some point.
Alberta also has a younger median age, and BC has almost 400K more people over the ago of 65. If Alberta can sustain strong growth for 20 years, it could catch up.

Once you look at BC in terms of it's topography and climatology (which are the same thing in many cases) maps you realize it doesn't have a lot of developable land in the areas that are most desirable. It's a series of valleys that all put together probably would be larger than PEI but not much.

This isn't even factoring in agricultural land protection and general environmental NIMBYism.

BC is going to have to go full tower mode if it wants to keep growing at a decent pace into the future.