McKendrick agrees and adds that not many people will voluntarily get off the Bus Rapid Transit bus they use now — Route 302
— and transfer off of it to ride the rails into downtown.
The City, however, predicts that Phase 1 will serve 65,000 people per day. McKendrick counters those are “pie in the sky” numbers, “not based on any true analysis.”
“That means an additional 48,000 riders per day will start taking the LRT even though the LRT serves no new destinations,” said McKendrick.
“Those ridership projections were developed on the premise that downtown employment-related travel would continue to rise as it had been doing prior to the downturn in 2015,” he explained.
But, if you build it, surely the people will start to use it, especially if they can experience a significant time savings in their commute?
“Not if the line ends at Shepherd,” says McKendrick. The LRT line, he says, is too short to make up for the time lost by transferring.