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Best place I can think of to put this... Saw that Elections Canada adjusted boundaries for an election after 2024. I am going to mention Calgary Centre as it's my riding but other ridings in Calgary have also changed. Now only including Glengarry and Killarney west of Crowchild
www.elections.ca

Implementation of New Federal Electoral Boundaries

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www.elections.ca
Before:
1695911139074.png

After:
1695911147798.png
 
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Atticus said:
Where did that figure if 184k come from? Not disagreeing, but curious of where the star comes from.
184K is massive.
Click to expand...
calgaryherald.com

Alberta sets Canadian record for annual net interprovincial population growth: StatCan

Alberta set a new record for net interprovincial migration growth last year, contributing to an overall population gain of more than four per cent.
calgaryherald.com calgaryherald.com

I think Alberta grew by just over 100K in 2022 with Calgary gaining 50k of that. If the ratio stays the same for the period over the year over year period July 2022-2023, Calgary could see some massive growth.
 
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Alex_YYC said:
calgaryherald.com

Alberta sets Canadian record for annual net interprovincial population growth: StatCan

Alberta set a new record for net interprovincial migration growth last year, contributing to an overall population gain of more than four per cent.
calgaryherald.com calgaryherald.com

I think Alberta grew by just over 100K in 2022 with Calgary gaining 50k of that. If the ratio stays the same for the period over the year over year period July 2022-2023, Calgary could see some massive growth.
Click to expand...

The growth from Q3 2022 - Q3 2023 is 184,399.using Stats Canada population estimates.
 
MichaelS said:
Is there a way to determine how much of the provincial growth came to Calgary? Or do we not have numbers that refined?
Click to expand...
Mountain Man said:
Yeah, would love to see a breakdown.
Click to expand...
Me too, but if I had to guess it would be somewhere between 35% and 45% I found numbers on the Statscan website that show Alberta having a growth of 132K for 2022, and Calgary we know had growth of 50K in 2022, which is 38% of the population growth of the province. If the same percentage was to hold, Calgary would see a growth of 70K. That would be insane, but I guess we'll have to see when all the dust settles.
 
The growth actually is still increasing:

2022 growth: 132K

July 1st 2022 - July 1st 2023 growth: 184K

Oct 1st 2022 - Current real time population clock estimate: 242K

Now there could be some wonkiness with the real time population clock estimate but I still would guess the growth from Oct 1st 2022 - Oct 1st 2023 is over 184K


I sort of predicted this. As Canada experiences high immigration and Ontario and BC have high housing costs....Alberta becomes the main release valve for the country. And unless immigration gets dialed back, which I suspect it won't, the growth for Alberta will be sustained.

Alberta will very likely hit 6M people by 2030 imo.
 
smart_development said:
The growth actually is still increasing:

2022 growth: 132K

July 1st 2022 - July 1st 2023 growth: 184K

Oct 1st 2022 - Current real time population clock estimate: 242K

Now there could be some wonkiness with the real time population clock estimate but I still would guess the growth from Oct 1st 2022 - Oct 1st 2023 is over 184K


I sort of predicted this. As Canada experiences high immigration and Ontario and BC have high housing costs....Alberta becomes the main release valve for the country. And unless immigration gets dialed back, which I suspect it won't, the growth for Alberta will be sustained.

Alberta will very likely hit 6M people by 2030 imo.
Click to expand...
The Calgary region will receive a disproportionate share of the international and interprovincial migration, so 70K plus for the region would be a reasonable guess. I suspect places like Airdrie, Chestermere and Cochrane will post mind blowing growth numbers, approaching double digit percentage growth.

Projecting the growth forwards is very uncertain. Regardless of official government policy, I could see immigration falling dramatically due to poor employment prospects for would be migrants and Canada's general unaffordability. Exodus from BC and ON will likley remain high due to high housing costs and taxes.
 
DougB said:
Projecting the growth forwards is very uncertain. Regardless of official government policy, I could see immigration falling dramatically due to poor employment prospects for would be migrants and Canada's general unaffordability. Exodus from BC and ON will likley remain high due to high housing costs and taxes.
Click to expand...
I think we will also see an increase of middle class immigrants coming to Calgary which have historically gravitated towards Vancouver and Toronto. These would be middle/high income families in their home country moving to Canada. I was one myself, and if we were to immigrate today, Calgary would probably be much higher on the list for my parents than it was 20 years ago. The house we lived in in Vancouver has almost tripled in value since 2007. Whereas Calgary is only approaching those 2007 prices today for a similar quality of life (schools, recreation, etc.)
 
Housing starts for Sept.

SFH - Det - Row - Apt

YYC
554 - 124 - 282 - 1,774 - 2,734

YUL
99 - 24 - 54 - 2,505 - 2,682

YOW
193 - 36 - 127 - 1143 - 1,1399

YEG
464 - 104 - 161 - 355 - 1,084



Apparently in these sections of the city there were 80 and 283 apartment starts. I'm wondering which projects those would be. whether U/D counts as part of University Heights? Also not sure of the timeline of these numbers, whether these numbers might be from something started a while ago and are finally showing up, or a project that has registered it'll be starting, but hasn't actually started yet.

Montgomery/Point McKay/University Heights 80
Altadore/South Calgary/CFB Currie/Lincoln Park/Richmond/Upper Mount Royal/Elbow Park/Rideau Park 283



Numbers YTD
SFHDetachedRowApartmentTotal
Toronto3,5392344,00632,20139,980
Vancouver2,2667481,35120,85225,217
Calgary4,1041,2082.0856,74414,141
Montreal7671482539,70910,877
Edmonton3,4656841,5053,4459,099
Ottawa/Gatineau1,3512181,1936,1968,968
Winnipeg1,0883043382,5864,316
 
With all of of the multi-family development throughout the city, I’m going to estimate our urban area population density will increase by a good 15% by the next federal census. We’re I believe the only city in the federation where our municipal border is (far) larger than our urban area. IMO, urban area is the only reasonable way to measure population density.

Municipal landmass: 821 km2
Urban area: 622 km2

Municipal density: 1592/km2
Urban density: 2100/km2


Could def see us punching through 2400, possibly even 2500/km2, in the next census.
 
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