McGillicuddy
Active Member
At the risk of dragging this thread deeper into political analysis, something worth internalizing about Terrebonne is that it's close, to a point that pissing off 1% of their voters from last time would likely be enough to cost the Liberals the seat.
When the commentators say that ALTO could affect the result, they aren't envisioning a scenario where the Liberals plummet down to nothing. A very small shift would be enough.
That being said, the fact that this election will be so close will also tend to make the result quite inscrutable either way. When 20,000 voters switch to a new party, the reasons are usually obvious enough. When 150 voters switch to a new party, you can only speculate as to why.
When the commentators say that ALTO could affect the result, they aren't envisioning a scenario where the Liberals plummet down to nothing. A very small shift would be enough.
That being said, the fact that this election will be so close will also tend to make the result quite inscrutable either way. When 20,000 voters switch to a new party, the reasons are usually obvious enough. When 150 voters switch to a new party, you can only speculate as to why.




