Biggest problem with all of this is that the City of Calgary is still on the hook for all cost over-runs and the UCP just handed them a map with a new alignment drawn on it and the most basic of costings included. Councillors have a fiduciary responsibility to both the corporation and taxpayers so what decision should they make?
Let's say they accept the UCP alignment and over the next year the detailed design and procurement proceeds and we learn that this is going to cost an extra $500 million to deliver. Calgary taxpayers are on the hook for 100% of that cost. So what happens then? The City either digs deep into taxpayers pockets or starts chopping.
On the flip side, if Council rejects the UCP plan, the whole thing falls apart and Calgary loses out on $1.5 billion in federal money. That federal money disappears if the Green Line doesn't get the green light by the end of March 2025. Not really a lot of time for Council to get better costing estimates.
If the UCP really believes in what they're selling, they should put some money where their mouths are and agree to share in the risk and any cost over-runs associated with Council building the UCP alignment. They won't of course, but the UCP putting the bare minimum into design and costing for their recommended alignment as well as their refusal to cover over-runs puts Council in an impossible position.... one that makes me feel this project has, at best, a 50/50 chance of seeing the light of day.