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wyliepoon

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Forget auto pilot, get real transit plan
Aug. 9, 2006. 06:16 AM
ROYSON JAMES

We watched as American cities sprawled as far as the automobile would take them and listened to the complaints from tired, frustrated, gridlocked commuters. And we ignored or gave short shrift to their warnings.

So, we are really not surprised that the commute across the Toronto region is grinding slower and slower each year — even as we replicate the disastrous development patterns that inevitably lead to such transportation mess.

The prospects for change are dim. We're not short of money, but there are too few credible and studied calls for expenditures that might create a proposal we know will ease the traffic burdens.

Auto-dependency has proven itself a false promise, and even the proponents of more highways and more pavement are beginning to admit that more highways only lead to more lanes of clogged traffic.

Transit has its supporters, but the proposals are short-sighted, sporadic, underfunded and lacking innovation and foresight.

Governments are still unable to scale the built-in barriers: the feds are in charge of the railways, the province runs the highways and the cities — financial weaklings with gigantic responsibilities — are in charge of the buses and subways. They rarely come together for the benefit of the commuter.

Never mind the provincial government's pronouncement about Smart Growth and Markham's boast about its new urbanism and the curvaceous towers planned for Mississauga. Fact is, the towns and cities of the suburbs outside Toronto are not nearly as densely populated as they need to be to sustain public transit. And nobody is forcing them to be.

The province says it plans to set up the Greater Toronto Transit Authority, but do you think it will have nearly the powers it needs to even make a modicum of a difference? Hell, no. For that to happen, Mayor David Miller has to travel to Mississauga and meet with Hazel McCallion. They would then travel to Bill Fisch in York Region and then trek over to Roger Anderson in Durham and not leave until they've carved out the skeleton of a plan to ease travel across the region.

Then, they could go to Queen's Park and Ottawa with the clout of 4 million people — and be heard.

A kilometre or two of subway every year for 20 years.

A network of bus lanes for express inter-region travel — say from Mississauga to Scarborough, or whatever connections — are needed to move masses of people.

A GTA-wide funding plan — licence fees, gas tax, hydro levies, road tolls — that shows the Toronto area is prepared to pay its share of the funding to ease the pressure that's been building and which will get worse.

And even then, the Toronto region would have only a fighting chance. So, don't expect to whiz across town or country on our way to work each morning and have smooth sailing on our way back; not any time soon; maybe never.

Thankfully, people like John Stillich are eternal optimists. The general manager of a group called Sustainable Urban development Association has no illusions about how difficult it will be to improve our transportation options.

"We simply don't comprehend the enormity of the transportation problem created by 12 million trips a day in the GTA," he said, following the province's announcement that the Spadina subway would extend to Highway 7 and Weston Rd., from Downsview station.

"The extension will replace only 83,000 car trips per business day, and won't be operational until 2013. Travel by automobile will continue to increase by leaps and bounds. Compare our transit efforts to the city of Madrid, Spain, which has been building subways at a rate of 10 kilometres per year."

One solution Stillich has offered is a cross-GTA subway line, along Sheppard-Highway 401, stretching 58 kilometres from Pickering Town Centre to Mississauga Centre — 27 stops, nine of them underground.

Cost? About $6 billion, says Stillich.

Likely more. Maybe as much as $9 billion. But as he says, this would be the "most substantial public works project undertaken in the Toronto area.

The size of the project reflects the size of the problems facing the region and the benefits are commensurate in magnitude."

Stillich says people may have other ideas or more detailed costing, but his plan is "worth putting out there. I think it's doable. Do it in phases, minimize the disruption in traffic. But do it now or nobody is going to move later down the road."

Unless, you have a better idea.
 
A cross GTA subway line eh? Wow, Royson really has gone off his rocker. And at 27 stops wouldn't that be further apart than most GO Stations?
 
58 km / 27 (26, technically) stations ==> 2.23 km between stations, on average. Quite far, no?
 
I've said it before, and I will say it again (and again). Royson James is a hack. The only thing that surprised me is the lack of his typical Miller-bashing.

A busway to Mississauga from Pickering? That's Gordon Chong's much-discredited idea for GO Transit. He's providing nothing new here.
 
GO ALRT would have been the best transit project for this region since the first subway line, and it was more-or-less a cross-GTA subway.
 
the cross gta subway was not James' idea - it was the guy he quoted. James' point was that Miller should get off his ass, make nice with his neighbours and start really twisting the arms of MPs and MPPs to make *something* happen.

But since James is not afraid to point out when David Miller has (gasp!) flaws, don't let me stand in the way of those who just think it's enough that he's better than Lastman.
 
Who would sit on a subway from Pickering for over an hour when the same car trip takes like 15 minutes?

There is sooooo much more they could do with $9 billion.
 
^Thats what I was thinking. For $3Billion, you could have the 2001 smartride LRT system (I added more $ to incorporate cost increases). Through another $3Billion to improve GO infrastructure to increase frequencies + other improvements, and I think you would get more cars off the road.
 
58 km in 15 min - thats 232km/h average speed. I'd like what you're driving please!
 
Good point. A more realistic driving time from end to end of the route by car is 45 mins - 1 h. I think the subway would be competitive, but only if you lived on the line or very near. If they had express service with only 6 - 8 stops, then the average speed could be much higher for the subway... as high as 80, 90 or 100 kph? End to end could be done in 30 - 40 minutes.
 
A more realistic driving time from end to end of the route by car is 45 mins - 1 h.

Assuming no traffic, no accidents and no construction.
 
If they had express service with only 6 - 8 stops, then the average speed could be much higher for the subway... as high as 80, 90 or 100 kph? End to end could be done in 30 - 40 minutes.

I'm fairly sure the max speed for subway is about 80kph. CLRVs are quite a bit higher (around 120kph without a governor) -- that's also why they're so heavy.

GO transit can run 130kph and is limited by the tracks, not the engines. I think the engines are good for about 150kph (little over 90mph).

Subways are best for local service with fairly high turnover and frequent stops.

You get a substantial bow-wave at high speeds and it's worse in a tunnel. Takes quite a bit of extra engineering to be able to deal with it on a regular basis (once is easy -- damage happens after passing).
 
"58 km in 15 min - thats 232km/h average speed. I'd like what you're driving please!"

I think I'd be more impressed with the subway that can get from Pickering to Square One in an hour...
 
Max speed of 80? Then avg speed couldn't be much more than 50 or 60 kph even with stations that are well-spaced.

Toronto seems somewhat hellbent on using subway as the backbone of transit, and given the lack of surface alignments in some areas of the city, I think it will be necessary. I'm sure the technical problems can be overcome in terms of getting faster trains to operate effectively in a tunnel. It seems mainly a matter of money.
 
I think with only a few exceptions, we should be wrapping up the subway era, at least for the short term. Sheppard should probably be finished, Downsview to at least Victoria Park. The B-D line will probably be extended to STC, though a well-planned multi-branched *real* LRT system (more like Calgary/Edmonton or US/British systems than Spadina) feeding into Kennedy could be the ideal replacement.

We often overlook one of the best options for Toronto: Urban regional rail. The Lakeshore, Stouffville and Georgetown Lines could get 15 minute rail services to the inner 905 suburbs, with semi-frequent stops in 416 (existing GO stations plus perhaps 10 more along these four routes). Milton would require more work, but the diversion to MCC would do much more for it than the Mississauga busway or B-D extension. This option makes a lot of sense, but is beyond the comprehension of GO and others. (This is why I wish GO-ALRT went further than it did, the only legacy is the GO Sub in Durham). It could also be expanded to include the CP North Toronto and Belleville/Havelock Subs, as well as CN Newmarket/GO Bradford.

And LRT/Pre-Metros for Eglinton and Queen, which could be built incrementally. Queen could eventually turn into the Downtown Relief Line once it is completed to Parkdale and DiGrassi Street, then use the rail corridors to bring it north.
 

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