Wax
New Member
My guess is all the roadwork (track bed, utilities etc…) stations and signals, signage etc, are not anywhere close.I re-read that a few times thinking I missed something, seems way faster than expected. Hopefully not too far fetched?
My guess is all the roadwork (track bed, utilities etc…) stations and signals, signage etc, are not anywhere close.I re-read that a few times thinking I missed something, seems way faster than expected. Hopefully not too far fetched?
Just saw the CBC clip and it mentioned that Marigold is hoping to test trains November of 2026. Idk how they’re going to do it but best of luck to them lolHonestly I don’t see how it’s reasonable tbh. They have ~5% of the OCS wire up right now, no track on 102, no steel up for any of the stops. I think finish building by end of 2027 is reasonable. Commissioning of the trains themselves has already started, which is maybe what he’s referring to there
In the video the reporter says "the companies goal is to start testing the tracks by next November". TransEd was testing track back by January 11, 2020. Ground breaking was April 2016, so less than 4 years from ground breaking. VLW ground breaking was May 2022, so testing by November 2026 is actually a bit longer than 4 years. That's not a particularly exact measure of progress mind you, but seems about right. At the time the VLSE was limited to testing south of 51 Ave, but, it was none the less basic testing by pushing an LRV around."He expects all of the building to be done and testing to start in 2026 and hopes the city approves an accelerated work plan, like was used on 104 Avenue, again"
Woah testing to start in 2026??
I am equally skeptical, but the 102 ave spread is only ~600m of dead straight track with utility work being completed this winter. Likely doable in a single season if they allow for a full closure of 102 ave and corresponding intersections (or keep 105, 104, 103 st open as minimally as possible).I'm curious, given how they are only just starting on 102 Ave, if the first vehicles might have to be trailered to the Lewis Farms facility, or elsewhere, for initial testing. I do not see them having all rail laid in less than a year.
At the average pace they showed over the last 4 quarters, we are between 6 and 7 quarters away from completion. If their plan is for the same accelerated construction pace they has in the last 2 quarters, we could be looking at 4 to 6 quarters for construction to be completed. I feel like we're basing a lot of opinions on what TransEd did, and I don't think this is a good comparison anymore, considering how much more competent Marigold has shown to be.We are 3 full years away still. And that won’t be mostly 2 years of testing. No stops exist yet, most overhead lines won’t be installed for another year still.
You think a massive capital project will finish an entire year ahead of schedule?At the average pace they showed over the last 4 quarters, we are between 6 and 7 quarters away from completion. If their plan is for the same accelerated construction pace they has in the last 2 quarters, we could be looking at 4 to 6 quarters for construction to be completed. I feel like we're basing a lot of opinions on what TransEd did, and I don't think this is a good comparison anymore, considering how much more competent Marigold has shown to be.
There are many ways that they can make it faster than TransEd did. Have more crews working simultaneously, extended hours, etc. I will be surprised if they're doing any kind of extensive testing next year, but I will not be surprised at all if the line is up and running by the end of 2027.
It’s not unheard of. Didn’t the Blue Line West Extension in Calgary finish a year early? And that had lots of elevated and tunnelled sections.You think a massive capital project will finish an entire year ahead of schedule?