CplKlinger
Senior Member
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That's a fair point to make, but I did highlight development permits that have a pretty good chance of going through, CBRE reported on Highfield, CN Tower and Switch so that's going off at some point, along with that Abbey Lane proposal since they've proven they can get shovels in like their earlier project near 102 Ave. It's why I didn't add BLVD to the list since we've heard crickets on that one.My guess is downtown will be between 17,000-18,000 by 2030. 1.58 people per unit is high and a lot of development permits don’t go anywhere. If Canada’s immigration numbers had stayed high, I could see 20,000 being a possibility, but I don’t see it to be honest.
You could very well be right. I’m basing my tempered predictions on international immigration dropping sharply, and nothing more, so the numbers could be higher than expected. Also I recall quite a few units built from 2015-2021, but conversely downtown dropped in population.That's a fair point to make, but I did highlight development permits that have a pretty good chance of going through, CBRE reported on Highfield, CN Tower and Switch so that's going off at some point, along with that Abbey Lane proposal since they've proven they can get shovels in like their earlier project near 102 Ave. It's why I didn't add BLVD to the list since we've heard crickets on that one.
The thing is I think we're closer to the 17,000 mark already than people think. The 13,000 from the census was back in 2021 when the core had double digit residential vacancies. Really curious what the 2026 census numbers bring tbh.




