steveintoronto
Superstar
Good points, but I suspect yet again, the polls are going to be proven wildly wrong. They gauge emotional responses, which is what the present numbers are all about. They don't gauge the likelihood of people actually voting on their feelings.One thing about the Ipsos poll worth noting: Doug Ford's leadership approval rating being 37%, only a couple of points behind Horwath. (Wynne's at 24%.) By that evidence, seems like that Ford/Trump pattern of "those who like him, like him a lot" is sinking in, which might dangerous for opposition prospects...
As Ford is forced to say something, anything of importance, the polls will start dropping for him as people realize that they hate Wynne, but it's not worth committing suicide over.
Just realized NL posted this:
I could believe a minority win, which would key a coalition to allow the Libs to remain the government, or at best, a slim majority for the Cons, but not what polls allude to.Personal preferences aside, I think some of the polling we're seeing, and predictive seat totals for the PCs are simply unrealistic.
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