Yeah that's possible, but it feels potentially unrealistic to me in two aspects: will Matlow become the standard-bearer for the "left" and will Saunders become the primary candidate on the "right"? I'm not sure I'd bet on either.
On that subject of who is the conservative candidate, it's been interesting to me to see Nick Kouvalis working with Bailao, Kory Teneycke working Bradford and then Ford supporting Saunders. Is there some sort of schism going on amid all these guys and the right wing establishment that's causing them to spread out their support? Is it just a question of Bailao and Bradford are paying them money so they'll take the money and be on their teams for now? Why has the right not consolidated around a single candidate? Is it 4D chess? Do the strategists think Saunders can't win/don't like Saunders, but he's Doug's guy? Does Doug think Bailao and Bradford are too centrist and hates their Toronto council downtowniness but the strategists think those candidates are better positioned to win and will play nice with the province?
I suspect Tory and his team were in the early stages of a succession plan for 2026, where his team would select their preferred flagbearer to replace him. It was probably going to be Bailao, Bradford or McKelvie. The scandal torpedoed these plans so it became a free for all, which is why you see a very crowded centre/centre-right field.
From what I've heard, Bradford has the slight edge in resources from Team Tory over Bailao, but Bailao has deeper support from the big red Liberal machine.
Both Bradford and Bailao were ready and organized right when the writ was dropped. Bradford is already running door-to-door canvasses and Bailao is staffing up a big office at University and Dundas. From what my source tells me, Matlow and Hunter appear to be slow in getting their resources together. It's a race against time as candidates have less than three months to organize.
Expect to Olivia Chow to formally register next week.