[Jonny5]

I thought to make a new discussion thread here on the US election.
Even though it's still ten months away, there's a lot happening already.
The Republican party primary state is quite interesting with Nikki Haley. As of now Trump is already claiming victory, but clearly it is not settled yet and the South Carolina primary on February 24 will be a pivotal moment before this election, especially since that's where Haley was governor.

 

[jje1000]

The US political system is entering this election in a state of crisis IMO, and likely no one will be satisfied by the results.

 

[DSC]

I have started to re-watch VEEP as comic relief and it remains an interesting show. I actually watched this episode yesterday

and today read...

Nikki Haley drops in on ‘Saturday Night Live’ cold open as surprise guest​

https://www.cnn.com/2024/02/03/entertainment/nikki-haley-snl-cold-open-ayo-edebiri/index.html

2 minute read
Updated 6:34 AM EST, Sun February 4, 2024

 

[jje1000]

Panic from even the staunchest court stenographers:

‘A nightmare’: Special counsel’s assessment of Biden’s mental fitness triggers Democratic panic

Polls have long found that questions about his age and mental abilities have plagued Biden’s standing with the public.

www.nbcnews.com

 

[Towered]

So it's not a concern with Trump, who is a whopping 4 YEARS YOUNGER?

 

[afransen]

Trump now "encouraging" Russia to invade European NATO allies.

Donald Trump says he would encourage Russia to attack Nato allies who pay too little

Remarks by former president and presumptive 2024 Republican nominee described as ‘unhinged’ by the White House

www.theguardian.com

 

[Brands]

Donald Trump is leading in the polls.

 

[Admiral Beez]

The chances of Trump getting destroyed are nil. He has a solid chance of actually winning, if anything.

It would be madness for me to make any strong predictions either way, but I do perceive that the x-factors that gave Trump his win in 2016 and his close call in 2020 are no longer entirely on his side. When you're Broke Don, with criminal trials starting in less than two weeks, with the US economy on the upswing, and the GOP needlessly provoking women and supporters of reproduction rights to the polls, I give Trump a lower chance of winning this time around.... but no promises, it's a long way off still.

https://www.ft.com/content/474af1ea-28e7-43d4-850d-310d37c3a000

 

[jje1000]

There is a non-zero chance neither current front-runners will become next president.

 

[ShonTron]

The other unknown is how many Democratic voters will just stay home or cast a protest vote. The last four years have hardly been inspiring and comments from old guard politicians like Hillary Clinton have been really tone deaf.

Biden’s exceptionally strong support for Israel’s offensive in Gaza is unpopular with many voters, especially in must-win areas like suburban Detroit.

 

[Northern Light]

If one drills down in the polls, the numbers for RFK loom large:

From: https://www.thetrafalgargroup.org/wp-content/uploads/2024/04/National-24-General-Report-0331.pdf

 

[Admiral Beez]

If one drills down in the polls, the numbers for RFK loom large:

View attachment 553509

From: https://www.thetrafalgargroup.org/wp-content/uploads/2024/04/National-24-General-Report-0331.pdf

I’m reminded of Ross Perot’s impact.

 

[Admiral Beez]

US voters need to know about the Comstock Act.

Republicans want to use an 1873 law to ban abortion. Congress must overturn that law | Moira Donegan

Democrats have a chance to corner Republicans on an unpopular issue – and defend a modern and egalitarian society

www.theguardian.com

https://www.npr.org/2024/04/08/1243366144/conservative-groups-aim-to-use-an-1873-law-to-virtually-end-abortions-nationwide

 

[Admiral Beez]

The other unknown is how many Democratic voters will just stay home or cast a protest vote.

I’d like to think ads like this one will move the undecideds and reluctants to cast a vote for Biden. This ad certainly hit me in the heart strings.

 

[Admiral Beez]

I hope I have this much energy (or Red Bull access) when I’m 80.