Best direction for the Green line at this point?

  • Go ahead with the current option of Eau Claire to Lynbrook and phase in extensions.

    Votes: 30 63.8%
  • Re-design the whole system

    Votes: 13 27.7%
  • Cancel it altogether

    Votes: 4 8.5%

  • Total voters
    47
Did they orchestrate it? Or, did their warnings just turn out to be entirely accurate? Imagine if we listened to them 6 years ago, instead of stubbornly assuming that "train = good!!!!" no matter what the costs.

They manifested their BS warnings into reality. The City did listen to them 6 years ago... back when Gray was engaging in good faith. His group's top ask was an independent board of experts to deliver the project because they were convinced those experts would agree with them about dropping the tunnel and building their SE LRT dream.

So the City created an independent Green Line Board and hired top project experts to take project management out of the hands of the politicians. Suprise, surprise, those project experts confirmed the City was on the right track with staging and risk management and the Gray group was out to lunch.

From that point on the Gray group was no longer engaging in good faith and instead set out to create so much fear and uncertainty that the market would walk away from the project or the politicians would. They finally found a premier willing to ignore years of reviews and studies from actual experts and instead listen to 9 retired guys with large chequebooks and a few napkin sketches and we find ourselves where we are today.
 
Getting that far north is an issue. Centre St has a lot of utilities under it. Probably cheaper to take a row of houses out on either side of Centre than try to move all those utilities. Given how construction is now way more expensive, but houses are somewhat flat.
I've seen a lot of news about the water main problems in the west end, are the centre st utils of a similar age?

If so, it might make sense to take that row of houses and cut & cover new utils and the green line..
 
To remind people of a preliminary look at elevated from 2016's TT2016-0483:
View attachment 593811
View attachment 593813

Running the line elevated downtown is definitely interesting, having stations integrated with the +15 network would certainly be unique, not sure if any other city that has something like that?

If the whole line was built grade separated, it would also open up the option of having a spur connecting to the airport and blue line as well, maybe even further east to support new high density developments.

Calgary might be able to get its own version of Canada line after all...
 
Roads and transit are both important transport infrastructure but transit should not try to compare with roads, because roads carry more passenger-trips as well as freight and scales well from low usage to high. Expensive rail transit should try to justify their existence based on their own benefits.
I agree that we shouldn't pit road and transit investments against each other, in part because lack of transit investment will ultimately create negative impacts on roads as well. With the collapse of the Green Line, Calgary's existing road network will have to absorb the bulk of increased car and bus traffic as the city's population grows. And with no way to meaningfully increase the capacity of the road network within the interior of the city, congestion will continue to get worse and worse.

We are following the same path that Toronto took in becoming one of the worst cities in North America for commute times. Toronto basically stopped building mass transit in the 1980s, in part because Conservative governments repeatedly cancelled transit expansion plans whenever they got into power (Harris literally filling in the tunnel that was dug for the Eglinton Subway in the 1990s, Rob Ford attempting to cancel every LRT project in the 2010s). Since 1980, while the Toronto CMA more than doubled in size from 3 million to 6.2 million, the city only increased its number of subway stations by 17%. It's road network was essentially unchanged. The result is that having to travel long distances in Toronto is miserable. The Ontario government is now desparately trying to dig itself out of the hole, but it will take generations to get that done.

Here in Calgary, our last new LRT station was built in 2014. We are about to pass the record for the longest stretch between expansions (previously set between 1990 and 2001). We are almost certainly looking at 20 years at least with no transit expansion. What are the Crowchild, Glenmore, and Deerfoot going to look like by 2035 when there's more than 2 million people living in the CMA? What's it going to feel like stepping onto the Ctrain in rush hour?
 
They manifested their BS warnings into reality. The City did listen to them 6 years ago... back when Gray was engaging in good faith. His group's top ask was an independent board of experts to deliver the project because they were convinced those experts would agree with them about dropping the tunnel and building their SE LRT dream.

So the City created an independent Green Line Board and hired top project experts to take project management out of the hands of the politicians. Suprise, surprise, those project experts confirmed the City was on the right track with staging and risk management and the Gray group was out to lunch.

From that point on the Gray group was no longer engaging in good faith and instead set out to create so much fear and uncertainty that the market would walk away from the project or the politicians would. They finally found a premier willing to ignore years of reviews and studies from actual experts and instead listen to 9 retired guys with large chequebooks and a few napkin sketches and we find ourselves where we are today.
I don't think this is really true. The GL Board's mandate was actually pretty narrow: to deliver the project as already planned. A plan arrived at through much acrimony, and amidst the darkest days of COVID:


2017 - Shepherd to 16th

Nov 2019 - this article is really worth a read as it gives a great sense of what a shit show things were at this time https://www.cbc.ca/news/canada/calgary/city-council-green-line-lrt-1.5361978 . Lots of different people proposing lots of different ideas...it seems evident that everyone is aware of major feasibility issues

June 1 2020 - https://globalnews.ca/news/7010503/... includes a,ground level and four underground).

However, in late January (2020), a special committee formed by Ward 6 Coun. Jeff Davison reworked the alignment of a section of the Green Line from Centre Street and 16 Avenue North south to the Elbow River in the Beltline in order to bring the project’s cost estimates within budget and manage construction risk.

The updated alignment includes a street-level track on Centre Street North with a bridge over the Bow River and a 2.5-kilometre tunnel in the downtown core and Beltline. There would with six stations in total (two at ground level and four underground).

June 18, 2020 - And then after two weeks of more infighting, everyone through up their hands and agreed it was good enough https://www.cbc.ca/news/canada/calgary/city-council-green-line-lrt-1.5616976

July 2020 - Green Line Board bylaw passed (but I think it still took a bunch of time to hire the chair and other members?)


So in the span of 6-8 months - 3 of which were the first 3 months of COVID - things went from total dysfunction to scrapping the tunnel north of the river and running at grade. Everyone clapped the chalk off their hands and said: hey GLB, your mandate is to build this plan (and only this plan)!

Since then we've only seen the GLB chop segments off, with no real fundamental changes. Perhaps that means they fully agree with the plan they were given, but if you listened to the Board Chair at last month's council meeting, he was quite careful to explain that they limited their considerations to their mandate.
 

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