I basically agree w/the above, but will put in a couple of asterisks.
Line 2 was quickly approaching capacity before the pandemic and will foreseeably reach its limits by 2040.
Though I don't see what that has to do with a mid-town GO Line as I don't really see that diverting much existing demand from Line 2 in the form likely to evolve.
My other quibble is the 2060 number, we'll see what unfolds, it certainly is not in the short or medium term offing. But that said.........I think by the 2040s it may well be a matter under examination.
Now that's just a bit far out to take seriously. There are simply a long list of projects in the queue first, and that list is in turn based on likely, but not assured growth, with some idea where it likely to go, but no assurances.
I think that any discussion of Midtown will come from capacity challenges at Union Station. GO RER is not even supposed to finish construction until the early 2030s, and the USRC offers capacity for, in my very unqualified opinion, decades of growth. The station building itself is probably a bigger barrier, but we have little idea of what it will look like beyond
@Willybru21's
diagrams, and it looks adequate to me.
Midtown GO risks crowding Yonge to an unbearable degree, and that risk goes up, not down, as the transit network expands and the city grows. Bypassing Yonge is also not an option; that's where everyone wants to go. Additionally, Union is a far bigger destination (downtown), and frequency splitting will increase travel time far more than diverting trains to Midtown.
The better solution to hypothetical GO capacity crunches at Union, and keep in mind that I would be
shocked to see either Midtown or this happen, would be an RER tunnel under King or similar; I am thinking of LSW-LSE and leaving the other, far less busy, lines to Union; but you can draw any number of crayon scenarios here.
I agree that Midtown will be examined at some point, for no other reason than the fact that it exists. But unless we have become New York City-bad at cost control, it is the weakest option to offer circumferential service and GO capacity relief, and I do not think it will advance close to the construction stage.