The majority of trips, on all lines, will continue to be in peak time....that is when people "need" to travel as opposed to "want" to travel...it is also when the roads are most congested so the pick up in time of trip for trains v cars will be greatest.......and the 442% growth is over total use.....growth in trips will come (on all lines) but 442% (or, even, 223% or 217%) are really hard to swallow.
I have to strongly disagree with you there. I
vastly prefer travelling on the train to the bus--I get extremely nauseous if I read a book, work on a laptop, or even look at my phone too long on a GO bus, but can easily do it without nausea on the train. Additionally, DVP/404 traffic in either direction is terrible for much of the day.
That means that, for me, taking the train is currently about an hour of 99%-productive time, whereas taking the bus is anywhere from 45 minutes to an hour and a half of 100% unproductive time. That's for the same price, and the same start (Aurora) and destination (Union) points. Also, I'd like to point out that the other 3 members of my immediate family are the same, as are
most of my friends.
Resultingly, both I and my friends/family very regularly take the last go train southbound (around 8 AM, getting to Union around 9) even for a noon or 1PM engagement rather than take a bus closer to the actual time. Similarly, for anything recreational, I often try to work in a trip downtown during the week if possible so that I can use the train, rather than take the bus there and back on the weekend.
So I, and many people I know, are often taking up a seat on a rush hour GO train when we have absolutely no real need to do so, for the sake of comfort--sometimes I have to travel during the peak, but the vast majority of the time I do not, and yet I do so anyways. I also avoid going downtown, and often drive instead of taking the train, because if my time is to be unproductive I might as well waste as little time as possible by having a car rather than taking the GO bus and the TTC.
I would shift almost the entirety of my travel downtown to 11AM~2PM, and some of my travel back to later in the evening, and take a greater percentage of trips on transit vs by car, if all-day two-way
train service, rather than bus, were offered even hourly yet alone every 15 minutes.
Also, while this is anecdotal, it is accurate for myself, 3 members of my immediate family, and many friends. Not everybody who lives in the suburbs has a full-time 9AM-5PM job in the downtown core and exclusively travels for work; many work part-time, or flexible/off-peak hours, are on call, go downtown for medical appointments or recreation or other events scheduled midday, and so on.