Doing the math for 3,000 riders at Victoria.
D40LF with 54 riders at peak time, you need 56 buses operating every 65 seconds.
D60LF with 75 riders would need 40 buses operating every 90 seconds.
LRT with 150 riders would require 20 unites operating every 3 minutes. Since it is the goal to use 5 minute headway, you will need 12 pair of mu LRT that can carry 3,600 riders in total.
A subway car carrying 200 riders would require 15 cars, but since they operate in a 4 pack you, would get 4 4 car trains operating every 15 minutes. Using a 2 car set, service would be 7.5 minutes.
This does not allow for extra riders that will get on over the ones that got off at a stop east of this point. If you factor those riders in, it blows the bean counter out of the water for what is noted above.
Assuming a round trip can be done in 60 minutes, TTC will require 16 less driver going to D60 buses, will require 36 less driver for single LRT, 44 less driver for mu LRT and 52 less driver for subway.
Less driver has a real cost saving as well fuel cost that has an impact on operation cost as well what riders have to pay at the fare box.
The extra drivers get resign to out routes, or are not replace as they leave the system.
When I looked at Mississauga BRT vs LRT over 25 years time frame, LRT would save $250 million in capital cost as well operation cost. I even allow for higher fuel cost that will not be as high as what is coming at us now.
Current headway for the Sheppard subway is 5.30. If we move to the 5 minute headway, you will need 10 more 4 pack as well drivers. You would be able to carry up to 4,800 riders
I am taking the all types out to the very end of Sheppard.
I maybe wrong, but I remember there were stops at Yorkland before the 404 was widen.
If a tunnel is built under the 404 for future use as a subway tunnel, there has to be a 3% grade to allow LRT to surface before Consumer RD.
I support 3 stops to be remove as they will be an operation problem base on their location. I can see a few more going, but not the 50% as plan.
I don't know what other thoughts are related to the Tuesday meeting, but I found the room willing to look at LRT in place of Subway. Thursday meeting was the opposite and had more people out to it.
I ran into Mitch Sandler who just walked up from Sheppard as I was walking down to it.
Below is a 360 view of various spots the SRT can run in north of Sheppard and there are major issues that goes against what was presented Tuesday night as to width as well elevation. There is as much as 30' different from one side to the other side in the same section.
The view is small as I didn't notices I change setting from Wed shooting for some reason, but still view you an idea what the corridor looks like.
I talked to 7 owners along the route and none of them know about the current EA.
As I see it, the SRT is DOA east of STC.
Time to move to scrap the existing system and replace it with LRT's.
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=FesFxIZmtfo
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=-P6EW0E1eM8
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=-igCSC7IgZ8
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=PW2H9wJZRVo
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=4dxhBtDI8xs
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Uztkp0rP3jc