1-Will GO take title to any of these secondary lines from CN and CP?
GO already owns significant portions of many of the lines that it currently runs on.
Mainlines owned by GO include;
- the entire Uxbridge subdivision (part of the Stouffville GO) mile 61 to mile 38.9 (Lincolnville) + the tracks to Uxbridge
- the entire Weston subdivision (part of the Georgetown GO) mile 0 to 17 (recently bought for 160$ million)
- the entire GO subdivision (part of the Lakeshore East GO) mile 0 to 11.7 (Oshawa)
- the majority of the Newmarket subdivision (Barrie GO) mile 12.9 to 62.9 (Downtown Barrie)
I have no doubt that the remained of this line (not used by CN mainline freights, only industrial switchers – same use as the Weston sub) will shortly be purchased once GO transit is ready to implement all-day service to Barrie which will include 2 tracking the line in all/certain portions & the construction of a grade separation over the CP line - essentially the same thing that is being done with the Georgetown line at West Toronto.
- the entire U.S.R.C. (Union Station Rail Corridor) 2.8 miles of the most complex series of tracks & switches in Canada.
- a portion of the Galt sub mile 0 to 4.8
Mainlines that GO can and should purchase in the future include;
- the Newmarket subdivision (Barrie GO) mile 3.0 to mile 12.9 (est. cost 100$ million)
- the Oakville subdivision (Lakeshore West GO) from mile 0 to 32.2 (just west of Burlington station)
infrequently used by CN mainline freights, a fair amount of industries. (est. cost 750$ million)
- the Bala subdivision (Richmond Hill GO) from mile 2.0 (USRC) to 16.1 (est. cost 150$ million)
infrequently used by CN mainline freights routed to the Oakville subdivision, no industries
- the Kingston subdivision (Lakeshore East GO) from mile 332.4 (USRC) to 314 (GO sub) not used by CN mainline freights, very few industries along the line (similar to the Weston, Newmarket & Uxbridge subdivisions) (est. cost 500$ million)
Mainlines that GO will not be able to purchase for the foreseeable future include;
- the Halton subdivision, CN’s main East-West line (the western portion of the Georgetown GO)
- the Bala subdivision north of mile 16.1, CN’s main North-South line (the northern portion of the Richmond Hill GO)
- the Oakville sub west of mile 32.2, its where CN’s mainline traffic diverts to the Halton sub
- the rest of the Galt subdivision, CP’s main East-West line (the majority of the Milton line)
Adding it all up GO transit currently owns about 120 miles of mainline corridors. With the anticipated purchase of a further 67 miles.
This would given them ownership of 187 miles of track.
The remaining 62 miles will stay under CN or CP’s ownership
(not including future planned GO lines)
Or over 75% of the track GO trains currently operate on.
In all this means;
- full ownership of the Lakeshore East, Stouffville & Barrie corridors,
- most of the Lakeshore West & Richmond Hill corridors,
- slightly more than half of the Georgetown corridor
- and a small part of the Milton corridor
All lines on which frequent all day service is planned for.
As for the future corridors...
Heres the potential of GO ownership for the expansion lines;
Lakeshore West expansion to Hamilton - high use CN line - unlikely - future frequent service route
Georgetown GO expansion to Kitchener - low use GEXR line - possible - possible frequent service route
Lakeshore West expansion to Niagara Falls - moderate use CN line - unlikely/not necessary peak use only
Bolton GO - high use CP mainline - unlikely - not necessary peak use only
Midtown GO - high use CP mainline - unlikely - not necessary peak use only
Richmond Hill GO expansion to Aurora - high use CN mainline - unlikely - not necessary peak use only
Havlock GO - low use CP spur line - possible - not necessary peak use only
Seaton GO - high use CP mainline - unlikely - not necessary peak use only
Lakeshore East GO expansion to Bowmanville - CN or CP line high use - unlikely - not necessary peak use only
As you can see most of them are anticipated to be used as only peak service (rush hour) routes and not all-day frequent service. It won't be too much of an issue for them to remain in CN or CP's hands. It is only economical for GO to purchase lines on which they plan to run frequent all day service and its only possible for GO to purchase lines that are not already in high use by CN or CP.