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MARCH 30th 7pm @ The Maria A. Shchuka Library at 1745 Eglinton Avenue West MIKE COLLE (Eglinton-Lawrence) MPP will be having an EMERGENCY TC information meeting..... PLEASE REGISTER and Come out to this important event!!!!!Constituency Office 2882 Dufferin Street Toronto , ON M6B 3S6 Tel: 416-781-2395 Fax: 416-781-4116 Email: mcolle.mpp.co@liberal.ola.org
 
When it comes to transit, province has a blind spot

It should come as no surprise that a government that would spend billions bailing out the auto industry would also cut billions from public transit.

If it's true that action speaks louder than words, there can be no doubt about where the province's intentions lie – and it's not on the subways, or LRTs, or buses.

According to no less a source than Premier Dalton McGuinty himself, the future can only be achieved through public transit. It is the underpinning, he has said, of economic prosperity and social equity. It also happens to make a whole lot of sense in light of the growing environmental imperative.

Cutting $4 billion from Metrolinx's already inadequate allocation of $9.3 billion is a giant step backward at a time when Toronto, the GTA and Ontario can least afford it. The city has already lost ground after decades of short-term thinking such as this.

The advent of a regional transit authority, Metrolinx, and Toronto's Transit City program was offered up as a turning point, the start of a newer, smarter, era that would see the Greater Golden Horseshoe join the 21st century.

But now that times are tough, the province has reverted to form and settled for the same old, same old. Gridlock and endless sprawl will have to do for the moment because we can't afford the start-up costs of public transit. No matter that the long-term costs of the status quo will be horrendous.

In the same budget, however, Finance Minister Dwight Duncan also announced that more money would go to education. The province wants Ontarians to be smart, and no one could disagree with that, but Ontarians must also live smart. That will be harder now.

Most depressing of all, perhaps, is that the budget also illustrated that when it comes right down to it, public transit is not a political priority. McGuinty has calculated that he can afford the fallout from chopping transit, most of which is centred on Toronto – never a popular cause in Ontario, as we have been reminded many times.

Still, when the price of political expediency is so high, one can't help but wonder how it can be justified.

If it were simply a question of Toronto keeping up with the Joneses, no one would worry. But we are 25 or more years behind where we should be. The TTC appears to be in free fall and, even fully funded, regional transit is full of gaps.

And although the writing is on the wall, no politician at any level is willing to broach the topic of road tolls, parking fees and congestion charges. Even in the United States, a nation built on the automobile and real estate, drivers pay to drive on highways and cross bridges without a peep. Not only must these revenue sources be exploited in Toronto and Ontario, the money raised should be dedicated to public transit.

Despite what our leaders seem to believe, continued failure to act intelligently is not the answer to Ontario's problems; it is the problem. Think of once-dominant cities such as Philadelphia, Detroit, Liverpool, Manchester or Montreal that no longer have more than regional significance.

Great cities vary widely but one shared characteristic is great transit – New York, London or Paris. Indeed, transit is a precondition to civic greatness. One doesn't happen without the other.

In delaying public transit yet again, the province has made it that much harder for Toronto and Ontario to realize their dreams of a brighter future.

Not only do the poor get poorer, the dumb get dumber.

http://www.thestar.com/news/gta/article/787349--when-it-comes-to-transit-province-has-a-blind-spot
 
No company in their right mind is going to want to build a subway unless they're getting paid by the government to do so. And 'compete' - how? With what? You'll see some competition for tenders (if they're high enough) but it's not like you can except to see The Wal Mart Metro competing with the ExonMobil Express for your fare. It is never going to happen. There is no profit in it.

Saying that public transit needs 'privatization' and 'competition' is just using empty buzzwords. Public transit also needs 'synergy' and a 'paradigm shift' and 'value-added service'. These are all meaningless words.

If it doesn't make sense to build a subway, then it won't get built. If it makes sense to have buses or a single bus, so be it… what leopetr said.

My point is, allow competition because it is ethical. Why must it remain outlawed to run a frikken mini bus?
 
Back to the funding cut of $4B annoucement. Metrolinx Big 5 moves were:
Viva BRT, complete in 2013, $1.4B
Sheppard LRT, complete in 2014, $1.0B
Finch LRT, complete in 2016, $1.2B
Scarborough RT, complete in 2015, $1.4B
Eglinton LRT, complete in 2020, $4.6B

Looking at this list and a request to save $4B isn't it obvious that the Eglinton line is delayed? The Eglinton Line requires TBMs and there will be spares available after the Spadina line extension is complete, the route to the airport is controversial and competes with the Air-Rail project, it has a completion date well into the future so successor governments could keep it on schedule, it is a single project that saves the entire amount needing to be saved, of all projects in the big 5 it is the most likely to be funded again in the future because it is a route that has been on the books for decades, and of all the projects it is the one where there is a question of capacity being under provided.
 
Back to the funding cut of $4B annoucement. Metrolinx Big 5 moves were:
Viva BRT, complete in 2013, $1.4B
Sheppard LRT, complete in 2014, $1.0B
Finch LRT, complete in 2016, $1.2B
Scarborough RT, complete in 2015, $1.4B
Eglinton LRT, complete in 2020, $4.6B

Looking at this list and a request to save $4B isn't it obvious that the Eglinton line is delayed?
No; wasn't the $4-billion savings over the next 5 years? Much of Eglinton won't be spent by then.
 
The Eglinton Line requires TBMs and there will be spares available after the Spadina line extension is complete...

The Spadina line TBMs are the wrong size for the Eglinton line as currently proposed. Aside from that, saving $25M to $50M on TBMs would likely increase costs by $500M or more by delaying due to general construction inflation costs.
 
Though if the technology could be changed to use the smaller TBMs that are used on the subway line, then there should be savings in construction costs.
 
Back to the funding cut of $4B annoucement. Metrolinx Big 5 moves were:
It's the Big 15, not Big 5 and it's out of the $11.5B of $17.5B that Ontario was giving, so we're left with $7.5B funds for $17.5B in projects. Georgetown/ARL will get done for 2015.
 
If it doesn't make sense to build a subway, then it won't get built. If it makes sense to have buses or a single bus, so be it… what leopetr said.

My point is, allow competition because it is ethical. Why must it remain outlawed to run a frikken mini bus?
1) Licensing, Insurance, and Vehicle Condition would be hard to enforce, unless you have cops pulling over your mini-bus.
2) Mini-buses would take premium routes/passengers to the disadvantage of the public investment in transit.

A few regulated service providers makes the most sense.
 
It's the Big 15, not Big 5 and it's out of the $11.5B of $17.5B that Ontario was giving, so we're left with $7.5B funds for $17.5B in projects. Georgetown/ARL will get done for 2015.

No, I'm talking about the Big 5 priority projects which were a priority only 4 months ago, not the other Big Move project list which includes GO Transit improvements. Of those Big 5 if there was any work slow downs it would only make sense for Eglinton LRT. The tunnel boring for Eglinton would largely be complete in the 2011 to 2016 time frame as would a third of the underground stations and the other underground stations would have construction contracts signed and be under construction. The above ground portion from Leaside to Kennedy and into the airport would be the last portions complete but also the cheapest.
 
The OLP are maintaining that they aren't cancelling but delaying projects, so trying to taking $4B out of 2010-2016 budget from one project won't fly.

The "Big 5" doesn't refer to priorities, but the major non-GO projects.

http://www.metrolinx.com/Docs/Agendas/Nov28_08/Benefits_Case_Capital_Plan_Nov28-08_Board_Meeting.pdf

Viva BRT, complete in 2013, $1.4B
Sheppard LRT, complete in 2014, $1.0B
Finch LRT, complete in 2016, $1.2B
Scarborough RT, complete in 2015, $1.4B
Eglinton LRT, complete in 2020, $4.6B

Viva BRT Phase 2 was lumped in with Phase 1 in 2008 as an addition to the "Quick-Win". As this project is already phased, the Newmarket Regional Centre BRT is shelved until after 2015.

The 2008 five-year Capital Plan had a total 2009/10 - 2013/14 expenditure profile of $6,996.2M, including $495.5M for the 2009/10 fiscal year ($320M in 2009-10 for PDE requirements). That means $6.5B over 4 years ($1625m a year). Cutting out $4B from $6.5B-$8.2B is going to take more than just Eglinton.

I see Sheppard LRT will make it through mostly untouched, but Viva BRT will be halved, and the rest of TransitCity will go back into EDP. LRTs will become surfacing subways.
 
This makes the mistake of putting Sheppard first even worse. That project stays but the SRT extensions gets cut short at Sheppard and doesn't reach MTC. That money would have been far better used by extending the S(L)RT to Malvern, using the money to help extend the Bloor-Danforth (thus relegating the S(L)RT to a MTC-STC link), and pursuing a short subway extension along Sheppard (say till VP).

Instead, we now have an extension that was supposed to serve Malvern which barely touches the community yet requires an expensive and useless bus terminal, a useless transfer at STC, and more transfers than required (had the subway been extended) at Don Mills.
 
1) Licensing, Insurance, and Vehicle Condition would be hard to enforce, unless you have cops pulling over your mini-bus.

Somehow, those considerations do not block private cab services, or intercity bus services like Greyhound.

2) Mini-buses would take premium routes/passengers to the disadvantage of the public investment in transit.

If mini-bus companies operate without public subsidy, they can't undermine public investment in transit. They will divert some riders and the revenues coming from those riders, but simultaneously reduce the operating and capital replacement costs since the public system will have slightly fewer riders.
 
Greyhound would fall under my catagory of "a few regulated service providers". In Toronto, there are 10 licenced private taxi companies.

A private mini-bus company with either: (1) be profitable or (2) be unprofitable. A private company cannot sustain unprofitability. Inclusion of a public subsidy might offset this, but in that case why not just operate the mini-bus company as a public agency.

If it is profitable, that profit comes by taking the best slice of the transit pie and leaving the unprofitable parts to the public agencies. This means a farebox revenue decreases per capita or a larger public subsidy to the TTC.
 
It bugs me that the provincial and federal governments found $140M for roads in Ontario, as if that would really improve the commute in the GTA. Not.
 

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