micheal_can
Senior Member
You might be right about the SMM-Sudbury corridor but I have to see numbers to be convinced. I know a few families who live in the Soo and I'd be surprised if they ever had a need to go to Sudbury. A lot of the traffic may well be between the Soo and communities as far east as Elliott Lake and then from the Massey area east to Sudbury. Same with TBay-Wpg, simply because of the distance, although there might be more of a business travel case.
I'm not sure I get the relationship with Canadian. West of Sudbury, the two routes go in completely different directions and serve different catchment areas. Sending the proposed train west out of Sudbury would actually require VIA to abandon part of the mandated remote service route on CP.
Both ACR and HCR might be getting public funds, but I doubt it is sufficient to upgrade the ROW to a point of reasonable passenger speed. I don't know the terms of the funding (if there are any), but I suspect in HCR's case, the goal is more likely to get the track speed for 15 to 40 mph. I don't think the government's can argue 'we give you money so you must support a passenger train'. Something as simple as no w/b to n/b connection in the Soo would need to be installed. In ACR's case, the tour train is just that. It trundles along at sightseeing speed to Agawa, turns around and comes back. It makes no scheduled or flag stops.
A FN group is trying to revive the Soo-Hearst passenger train, which might actually work against a new VIA service (how many passenger trains does one need between Soo and Franz?). A similar argument could be made for the NB-Toronto leg. ONTC is proposing daily service. What would a two or three day alternative service bring to the table? With a milk run like proposed, I can't see the schedule being very consistent.
I honestly think any talk of additional VIA service outside of possibly southern Ontario and maybe Calgary-Edmonton probably belongs on a fantasy page. Don't get me wrong; I'd love to see passenger trains running hither and yon, but there has to be either an economic basis or public subsidies that are willing to continually pour money into it. I get the concept of induced demand, that if a reasonable alternative exists some people might use it, but you need a critical mass of people travelling from A to B in the first place.
Go to page 22. Highway 17, it shows about 5000 AADT. I know a lot of it is truck traffic, but still, it may be enough to support a train 2-3x a week.
Air Canada and Porter fly to SSM from Toronto each day. AC has 2 flights,, and Porter has 1 a day. They seem to fly 78 passenger planes. So, that is about 250 people each way a day that might think of a train if it was reasonable enough.
As a side note, I took the Agawa Canyon Tour train this fall. The line was in reasonable condition and the train was doing about 40mph(70km/hr) both way. While I would love to see speeds of 90mph, I'd be happy with 50-60mph as that would be about the same speed as the highway they follow.
I know all of this is fantasy, however, when someone brings it up, I like to talk of options that might be viable. I don't think this would be coming back before something out west comes back. There just isn't any money to do anything.