Just as an update, Fort Saskatchewan voted 5-2 to stay in, as expected.
I won't comment on regional dynamics except to say the obvious, i.e. that COVID has upset everything and it's anyone's guess as to how the chips may fall.
I've been waiting for a news story to share, but none have been posted yet. If that changes, I'll add them to this comment.
The debate in council was a mess. Yes, 5 of the councilors were in favour of it, and I'm happy for that. But I was very dissapointed with Lennox and Kelly.
Lennox seemed to deliberately misunderstand or exaggerate what administration was telling her about the Commission. For example, in two years, the board will discuss their performance and whether changes should be made to the governance structure. They do not need to change anything, and it's just to make sure that they're operating efficiently and effectively. However, she twisted it by asking admin "So, you're saying that in two years, we might not have locally elected representatives on the board?" To-which, admin was forced to say yes because
technically, that's correct, although not likely at all.
Meanwhile, Kelly derailed the debate at the beginning by arguing about procedure. He emailed admin a notice of motion about transit earlier that day, and it was everyone's understanding that they'd have until the next meeting, in January, to think on it. However, he insisted that even though he titled it a Notice of Motion, he did not use NOM-specific language like "At this date I will move that...", so it should be counted as a motion and voted on at that meeting instead. So, it took a good half hour or so and plenty of point of orders to sort this out (he lost, by the way).
Then, he argued that the per-rider cost of our transit routes, due to low ridership, are more expensive than the cost to drive to Clareview and pay for parking. So, transit has no economic benefits whatsoever. Then, both of them argued that instead of paying for transit, the city should just let Uber move people around since "People could make a few dollars for their families and it'd bring the community together." Their reasoning was that when Skip the Dishes came to town, lots of people signed up as drivers, so surely they'd want to drive people too.
Fortunately, once this is approved by the province, a community will need a 2/3rds majority of members to support their request to leave. So hopefully future councils can't arbitrarily choose to pull the Fort out.
I missed a whole lot with this summary, and I groaned plenty of times while listening in. If you want to hear it yourself,
here's the council meeting timestamped to the start of the motion.