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Here's the accident heat map from the city's data, from 2016 until now link. Some 41,000+ collisions (yikes). Zoomed in for the inner city:

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A few highlights:
  • The amount of collisions is notable. Nearly every intersection has seen more than one in the past 8 years in the city centre.
  • The hotspots are also notable. Beyond the major arterials - a few of our favourite roads keep coming up - 14 Street, 8 Street SW, MacLeod Trail couplet, Memorial Drive etc.
Note, the term collision is more appropriate than "accident"; saying "accident" implies that it's just human error and there's nothing we could have done to prevent it or mitigate it - just bad drivers ruining everyone's day. If only we could just make them better drivers who don't make mistakes and have accidents our roads would be safe!

That's an unhelpful way to think about it in that it's totally inaccurate - everyone makes mistakes sometimes, even if they aren't being overtly reckless jerks. Most collisions have an element of human error or poor judgement, but the road design is what determines the severity of the failure state. The goal should be to discourage mistakes, but also make mistakes less dangerous to everyone involved. Proper car-proof bollards are a good example in this situation - had the sidewalks and buildings along 14th been protected with strong enough bollards, there would have been no other property damage or risk to pedestrians, just the drivers vehicles involved. Design reduces the risk and danger to people and property, in the event that mistakes happen.

Speed is the other big factor here. Regardless of whether a driver is speeding (i.e. exceeding the speed limit) or not, an 100km/h collision almost always leads to property damage and reporting regardless of the cause of the collision. A 30km/h and under collision often doesn't cause reportable damage - or doesn't occur at all as everyone had enough reaction time to avoid it in the first place.

Looking at the map that's a really big insight - where don't collisions occur? Low traffic, low speed areas. It's not just speed limits, it's design speed. Both 14th and 17th see a spike in collisions right where they become more free-flow and a higher design speed, even if the speed limit stays the same.

What did we learn? If you don't want any collisions, perhaps lower speeds and volumes. To do that you have to prioritize reducing collisions over speed and volumes, which is the opposite of what we do on most corridors.

If we can't stomach the horror of reducing the ability for people to be reckless speeding jerks in their vehicles everywhere, perhaps we can seek a better balance in the key areas where pedestrian volumes are the highest. The inner city, for example. The status quo "balance" is hardly that - it's a recipe to kill and injure people and cost our society billions every year in damage to cars and property in perpetuity.
 
Thank you @CBBarnett . That heat map is revelatory.



So often in these conversations, when suggestions are made to improve the pedestrian safety of a street, the response is "Well we can't do that, 14th St is a major transportation route."

But that's the whole point. We as a city get to pick how we use our streets. It's a failure of imagination to say that 14th St (or any street) has to be car-centric because it is one currently.

These issues feel all the more relevant in an economic environment where owning a car is more and more out of reach for most people. Walkable streets aren't only safe streets, they're fiscally prudent streets. People shouldn't need to spend thousands of dollars on a vehicle in order to get to work, buy groceries, or see friends.
One way to look at the collision heat map is it shows you a proximate distribution of "unexpected" costs as a result of a car-dominated transportation system. Each of those 41,000 data points is a reason cars are so expensive on both a personal level and a public level. Each point may represent something minor like a fender benders (at least, those that were reported) costing a few hundred dollars in minor repairs and some short travel delays for commuters all the way up to deaths, serious injuries and property destruction worth hundreds of thousands of dollars.

I don't know if the underlying data could be used in this way, but those 41,000 points probably represent hundreds of millions in property damage, thousands of injuries and few dozen lives since 2016. Who knows how much more costs were incurred indirectly through the impacts as a result of permanent injuries, deaths and congestion delays. You are looking at one reason insurance premiums are expensive. For the record, we added an additional 125 collisions to that 41,000 since my original post 2 days ago.

The key takeaway is the status quo is hardly "free" - the costs are enormous to keep this up. Defending the status quo is justifying these costs in damage and lives as inevitable by-products of our transportation system, when clearly they don't have to be. We have examples from our current system as the heat map shows - collisions don't happen on calm, low-speed/low-traffic routes today.

Slow the cars, restrict their ability to cause damage and the result of this analysis may show an "increase" in indirect costs for additional travel time (at least for some drivers, some of the time), but a decrease in all other costs through reduce collisions, deaths, injuries and property damage. This would reduce insurance premium inflation pressures in the long-run. There's also a break-point in here where if you reduce collisions by enough, the average travel time overall may actually decrease and become more reliable as a result of fewer unexpected delays.
 
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Is that the area that keeps flooding in major thunderstorms? Might just be stormwater upgrades.
I think that's between McKnight & 32 Ave (south of the current construction); there's a bit of hill and the water just flows down and across the highway. I've wondered if a simple drainage ditch along the east side the Deerfoot would mitigate some the flooding?
 

Completion of Massively Expensive Suburban Car Infrastructure Causes City Council to Accelerate Planning for More Expensive Suburban Car Infrastructure Without Any Irony or Self Reflection
 
I'm confused... in no way should opening up that small section affect anywhere else except the communities north of Bow Trail and west of Sarcee. No body else should be taking Old Banff Coach Road to get to the communities east of Sarcee. Maybe I'm missing something but it is definitely not faster to take Old Banff Coach Road to Stoney versus Sarcee to 16th.

Even once that whole section of Stoney is open it should divert enough traffic away from Sarcee that Sarcee becomes a much more local road for the communities directly to west and east of it.

Please City of Calgary, do not count your chickens before they hatch.
 

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