I think it's very likely that there was in intervention staged, and that this is a hail mary campaign saver orchestrated by Doug.
The video being staged seems to have many holes in it, specifically what's in it for Lisi and Kathy? A setup video could easily have been made without having them in frame. I guess Lisi could have been setup by Doug too, as a way to get him "shook" and away from Rob for good. But Kathy? Why Kathy? I guess Doug could have been doing the same thing to her as Lisi? Maybe Rob had been going back to Kathy as a basement party partner who he felt he could trust, and Doug wanted to cut that off too? Could the video actually have been shot at an earlier date than reported?
I think the audio being staged is more likely, although still not that likely. Doug would have known the video was coming out, why would they need the audio? Maybe to steer the conversation back to the more socially accepted alcohol issue? If it is true, I think Doug may have had this audio for some time, waiting to drop it if needed to initiate the hail mary. Does anyone have the specific timestamps on the audio that they hear Doug? Why would he let audio come out that trashes the CPC? To get back at Hudak? Also, why would he let the part about Stintz come out? He could have put the last 3 minutes (which is less offensive politically) out, and it would have had the same effect.
Or another simple explanation is that an intervention happened before the 24th, Rob agreed to go to rehab, Doug searched for one in Chicago, Rob saw the writing on the wall and went on a bender knowing that rehab was coming.
It's all a bit too complicated to actualy believe in though, just interesting possibilities to fill the time before the next meltdown. The one thing that is sure is that the way it went down stinks, something happened that we are not privy to.