That takes care of East; but the concern with Eglinton West ridership remains.
I had intended to include DRL to Jane/Eglinton as well.
Fact remains, that 30,000pphpd on the western segment could not occur either if the DRL was NOT built to Jane. Spadina and Yonge cannot handle anywhere close to this many additional passengers; they would back up at the station with multi-hour long lineups trying to make this transfer.
There are very few trips which would take place exclusively on Eglinton and only a small percentage are going to go north on Spadina or Yonge. Eglinton, with that kind of ridership would create two additional St. George and Bloor/Yonge transfer points.
Yonge line would be well beyond the capacity that 90 second headways, 7th car, and open gangways can offer. Any relief for Yonge or Spadina, like a DRL on Jane or Don Mills, also relieves capacity stress on Eglinton.
Unless you are a multi-billionaire, the government will have to back such pledge. And I feel that this one will be very hard to get. It is not even in the Metrolinx's plans (Peterborough to Summerhill service is there, but it is only a few trains per day and will not make any difference for intra-416 travel patterns).
Agreed. There have been discussions around this; moving CP traffic to the north end of the city. The catch, of course, is CP would need to move one of their main storage yards to accomplish this and that would be expensive. Second to this is linking that crosstown track into the more useful corridors (LakeShore East/West). I see this as something to be tackled in 50 years; long after LakeShore and Georgetown are electrified.
The model is more difficult to picture, but a LakeShore East/Georgetown combination may offer many of the same benefits to a crosstown Eglinton traveller (SCC to Pearson for example) if both of these routes are brought up to frequent service levels.
It will be interesting to see what happens to service levels when the new signal system is installed around Union; since that seems to be a primary constraint at the moment.
If anything, the most realistic way to relief Eglinton LRT will be Lawrence LRT. But those 2 LRT lines will cost more than 1 Eglinton subway.
Strongly in favour of this technique too. Multiple medium-capacity lines offer far more network stability than a single high-capacity line.