You made a map with your opinion of the process as the main assumptions. I'm not sure how your process is more correct. Do you have a background in planning? because that would be great and I would trust your judgment more. But so far all I see is "there are houses already there" and "building condos require a lot of work" which are so obvious and matter of fact that I don't know how this part supports your argument.
For example:
Your "4 years+" is laughable because almost all condo projects in Toronto take 5-10 years to create from land acquisition to construction.
All the things you mentioned above would just be a checklist in the project schedule of every single project in this city. None of the above is prohibitive of starting a project. Many of the projects downtown and in the inner suburbs are created on land assembled from several sites that are zoned for midrises. It takes years to assemble and construct and to go through the planning/LPAT process. (how do I know that? I read actual city docs laughably directing staff/councilors to oppose developments at the OMB/LPAT after failing to respond to in each case) yet they still do it because there is a market for such projects.
Many of the projects in Toronto happen at existing lots as either in-fill or a replacement of an existing structure. Toronto is running out of parking lots to build on. It's obvious that developers will start looking at buying lots close to Eglinton to assemble over time. And there is nothing saying that these lots need to connect directly to Eglinton. They can have entrances facing Eglinton but have all vehicle access (and mailing address) on the street their lots officially face.
Finally, I can count on my hands the number of mid-rises and high-rises I've read on Urban Toronto that continues to construction without a rezoning application that ends up at the LPAT. The city literally does not answer (reject or approve) many of these applications and ends up going to the LPAT for a settlement.
The only thing stopping a developer from doing the above is that there are easier sites elsewhere probably. But that area now officially is getting a 'subway to the airport'. That will definitely push up the area's attractiveness for redevelopment.
Don't forget that the construction lands for the EWLRT will be sold to developers also.
Would it help to learn that I'm a developer who does indeed have a background in planning, both academic and as a consultant?
You're painting with a mighty broad brush and making a lot of assumptions about what you profess to know from reading some stuff online. It's not so much that 'houses are there', it's that 'houses are there and the city isn't going to be doing anything to reverse policy to allow folks to assemble and build larger, denser structures where they currently lie'.
So let's break down your post a little more:
You made a map with your opinion of the process as the main assumptions. I'm not sure how your process is more correct. Do you have a background in planning? because that would be great and I would trust your judgment more. But so far all I see is "there are houses already there" and "building condos require a lot of work" which are so obvious and matter of fact that I don't know how this part supports your argument.
I made a map based on what I know to be true of current policy and the absence of any political will to do anything to change things (especially in that particular area).
All the things you mentioned above would just be a checklist in the project schedule of every single project in this city. None of the above is prohibitive of starting a project. Many of the projects downtown and in the inner suburbs are created on land assembled from several sites that are zoned for midrises. It takes years to assemble and construct and to go through the planning/LPAT process. (how do I know that? I read actual city docs laughably directing staff/councilors to oppose developments at the OMB/LPAT after failing to respond to in each case) yet they still do it because there is a market for such projects.
What do you know about risk profile? Why would a developer take on a site with all of the financial burden that entails if they have a ~10% chance of success? Maybe you're just more of a gambler than am I...
Many of the projects in Toronto happen at existing lots as either in-fill or a replacement of an existing structure. Toronto is running out of parking lots to build on. It's obvious that developers will start looking at buying lots close to Eglinton to assemble over time. And there is nothing saying that these lots need to connect directly to Eglinton. They can have entrances facing Eglinton but have all vehicle access (and mailing address) on the street their lots officially face.
Why is this 'obvious' to you? Again, I'll go back to my earlier question - take a closer look along this ROW - which sites would you go for? Also, the City almost never allows entrances directly onto parks - the only salient, recent, example is the food hall at Waterworks exiting onto St. Andrew's Playground, and that was an enormous pain in the ass. In short,
no, the city would not allow access off of Eglinton except in a few areas that aren't traversed by cycle paths or parks.
Finally, I can count on my hands the number of mid-rises and high-rises I've read on Urban Toronto that continues to construction without a rezoning application that ends up at the LPAT. The city literally does not answer (reject or approve) many of these applications and ends up going to the LPAT for a settlement.
I don't have a clue what you're getting at here.
The only thing stopping a developer from doing the above is that there are easier sites elsewhere probably. But that area now officially is getting a 'subway to the airport'. That will definitely push up the area's attractiveness for redevelopment.
Again, no it won't. In any way.
Don't forget that the construction lands for the EWLRT will be sold to developers also.
What 'construction lands'?