I'd love to see Eastgate happens. But the section between McQueston Circle and Eastgate is a minefield. The political equivalent of a demilitarized zone.
Chad Collins (Ward 5 councillor) and Bob Bratina (MPP, Stoney Creek area) are both opponents against LRT. They are going to be a bit aghast at Terry ramming an LRT through their territory. So understandably, Matthew Green (our councillor)
tweeted this may be a red herring.
I do see a scenario where Eastgate happens as an overlapped ESR study that begins almost immediately (extra staff hired), an agreement-in-principle, and a ~2025-2026 open date for the Traffic Circle-to-Eastgate section. Basically, begin working on Eastgate now as an overlapped project (Whether under city funds, Fed funds, or expanded Metrolinx funds). The problem is the 2018 election will be quite messy. An agreement-in-principle (to the above) would probably make Terry Whitehead say yes to this milestone.
Basically, don't delay B-Line, but agree to endorsing a motion of an agreement-in-principle to immediately begin an overlapped Phase 2 ESR. Then we have several months (before Summer 2018) to nail the Eastegate extension agreement (financing, etc) in order for Terry to say #yesLRT again in the Summer 2018 construction go-ahead vote (the last major vote after this). This is the type of rabbits that needs to be pulled out of the hat.
After Terry Whitehead says #yesLRT this coming Wednesday, there is one more major LRT-derailing milestone to pass:
What we're doing is trying to finish the "2017 March/April" milestone that greenlights procurement.
The big dangerous milestone is Financial Close. In the midst of 2018 elections. It's necessary to get a green light from city council to begin construction.
TL;DR: It will be one hugely expensive, messy 2018 election campaign for municipal and provincial elections.