The fact that more immigrants settle in the 905 has nothing to do with anything - this is a typical trend that can be observed throughout North America. What exactly would this indicate anyway? Property taxes are lower here - large houses are generally cheaper in the 905 verse central Toronto.
Housing is cheaper in the suburbs of Toronto than in the 905. The Poverty by Postal Code report touched on this..
While jobs and employment were mentioned, the role of property tax differentials in areas was not.
The speech and data show that the increase was particularly greater in the the period from 1991 to 2001. This, opposed to pre 1991. At the same time the settlement of immigrants in the 416 area was decreasing, yet increasing in the 905 region. In 1996 the City of Toronto absorbed 33.6% of net migration to Toronto and area. By 2006 it only absorbed 6.6%. These are figures from Toronto's Economic Development office complied in the Vital Signs report. Of the 74,362 immigrants who moved to the city / region in 2006 4,908 moved to Toronto while the other 69,454 moved to the 905 region. While the granularity of the statistics are different, the trend still suggest that if immigrant families are highly represented in the poverty figures, while the amount of immigration to Toronto is decreasing, the trend should be the opposite. Conversely, if factors making immigrants more susceptible to poverty are innate, then we should see an increase in poverty in the 905 regions, as they are now the destination of the vast majority of immigrants.
Not made mention of in the report(s), the increase in povertyand the susceptibility of new immigrants has more to do with the decline in the number of jobs in Toronto. Furthermore, the change in the type of jobs. I was raised in the Keel - Jane / Finch area. The area contains a large number of industrial neighborhoods. I have witnessed a number of the companies, who were there when I was growing up, move to the 905 region. Many former factories, are now used car dealerships or other more 'precarious' type of employers. Now, even if the number of jobs have declined only slightly, and I think it has been more than slight, the requirements would have changed dramatically. The ability in communicate with customers would trump work ethic. In traditional factory / industrial work, lack of English proficiency is not as much of an encumbrance.
Toronto had missed out on participating in the economic expansion that occurred in the region, province and country. This can be solely attributed to the unreasonably high levels of taxation on non residential properties. Toronto has made itself unfeasible to build most new types of employment space. (see the proformas in Toronto Long Term Employment Land Surveys). At the same time it has hurt the existing ones by devaluing property values that are used to capitalize small businesses. If one is to look at the figures in Toronto's Enhancing Toronto's Business Climate report, it is apparent that the amount and timing of poverty increase is closely aligned with the fallout of the changed (same period) tax climate.
There are many reasons for poverty. All the factors that influence it, have been relatively constant. The one exception has been the change in Toronto's tax climate that forced companies to locate or move to the 905 region. The transfer of employment opportunities that new immigrants can participate in appear to be the major factor at play here.
Glen. you talk about how the tax system in Toronto puts more of the burden on commerical developments - by it self this doesn't mean anything but compared to the 905 it does (and you're correct) ... again Toronto isn't competing with other cities in this regard, it's competing with our immediate surrounding neighbors.
Correct. Until the decision to locate in an Urban area is made,property taxes are not an issue. Afterwards they certainly are. It also has a major effect on the willingness of builders to build on spec.
Now when you mention the new office towers were built do to tax breaks, what's wrong with this exactly? This is exactly the sort of thing we need to attract more and more development - or are you just implying the *current* system as is would attract little.
I mentioned it it because pointing to the construction of these towers as proof of city flourishing is deceptive. But yes, they would not have been constructed without such breaks.
You need to consider one thing when looking at unemployment data - and again this can mirrored throughout the world - the majority of the GTA's poorer residents settle in Toronto - as this is where most of the services are and this contributes to the unemployment rate - note I'm not talking about homeless people - they wouldn't be counted (you need to be actively looking for a job to be counted). As this spread increases between rich and poor - more of them will still decide to locate in Toronto - the amount of subsided housing outside of Toronto is honestly despicable - so the looking at the change in unemployment rates may be more valuable.
See first response
Another interesting figure from that report is net rents - there you can clearly see they've declined more in Toronto verse our neighbors.
As one would expect. If there is no appetite to absorb the increasing taxes (5% per annum via capping plus budgetary increase), they will be reflected in decreasing net rents. Eventually they will be reflected in the assessment values.
btw ... we go on and on about the tax burden business face, but aren't the majority of businesses just paying rent i.e. they don't pay taxes - it's the land owner that would (i.e. the big, oxford / BF / allied / ...) but I guess they reflect these in the rents? I just mean, I'm surprised you'd ever hear a rental complain about taxes - they may complain about the rental rates (which may in turn be due to taxes)
Out of site out of mind, just like renters in multi residential apartments.