Debatable. CAF or Alstom/Bombardier could well decide to take a hit on this order to help setup their operations in anticipation of a larger Amtrak order down the road. Also, CAF just wrapped up their Viewliner order. They could decide to underprice and win this bid just to keep the plant going.
We should recognize here that VIA's interests (lower operating costs from commonality) should trump industrial interests in this case. I hope VIA takes into account commonality savings that would arise from operating an all-Siemens fleet. Hopefully, it's not just the lowest bid and focuses on the lowest TCO. VIA really, really needs to get their operating costs down while boosting output.