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Urban Sky said:
I decided to dive into my timetable database for you to compare the May 2004 with the May 2005 schedules:
View attachment 617620

Basically, what happened is that prior to May 2005, VIA operated a very different morning schedule on weekdays and weekends, where the morning train from Sarnia would operate on weekdays via Brantford (Train 82) and on weekends via Kitchener (Train 682). In May 2005, Train 682 became daily (and was renumbered 84), which was the opportunity to systemize the timetable by operating the early morning Sarnia train daily via Kitchener, like it already operated on weekends. Nevertheless (and as you already remarked), a connection was offered in London to transfer between Train 84 and 70, which lasted until November 2021 (when the departure time of Train 84 in Sarnia was delayed at the request of Metrolinx from then 06:10 to 08:40):
Train #May 2004 (weekdays)May 2004 (weekends)May 2005 (weekdays)May 2005 (weekends)
8605:25 LNDN
06:44 KITC
08:20 TRTO		05:20 LNDN
06:41 KITC
08:20 TRTO
8205:25 SARN
06:34 LNDN
07:26 BRTF
08:25 LNDN		05:25 SARN
06:34 LNDN
07:26 BRTF
08:25 LNDN
682
(May 2005: 84)		06:10 SARN
07:18 LNDN
08:40 KITC
10:05 TRTO		06:45 SARN
07:44/54 LNDN
09:11 KITC
10:52 TRTO		06:45 SARN
07:44/54 LNDN
09:11 KITC
10:52 TRTO
7006:00 WDON
07:58 LNDN
08:59 BRTF
10:04 TRTO		06:00 WDON
07:58 LNDN
08:59 BRTF
10:04 TRTO		06:00 WDON
07:53/58 LNDN
08:59 BRTF
10:15 TRTO		06:00 WDON
07:53/58 LNDN
08:59 BRTF
10:15 TRTO

And for what it's worth, offering a SARN-TRTO train via Brantford rather than Kitchener was really an anomaly, which only lasted from June 1998 until May 2005, as a curious deviation from the division of all SWO services into a northern (SARN-LNDN-KITC-TRTO) and southern route (WDON-LNDN-BRTF-TRTO) which has persevered since the 1990 cuts:
View attachment 617621


Well, there actually is regular bus service between London and Sarnia (The Municipality of Strathroy-Cardoc operates a bus 2-3 times per day from London and Flixbus operates 6 times a week all the way from Toronto via London):
View attachment 617615
View attachment 617618
Click to expand...
Rob's experience of deteriorating Via service to/from Sarnia is indisputably supported by Via's schedules over the past few decades. Since Via took over passenger operations, Toronto-Sarnia service has experienced far more severe decline than any other Corridor service.

Capture1.PNG
 
reaperexpress said:
Rob's experience of deteriorating Via service to/from Sarnia is indisputably supported by Via's schedules over the past few decades. Since Via took over passenger operations, Toronto-Sarnia service has experienced far more severe decline than any other Corridor service.

View attachment 617657
Click to expand...
Sure, but there is no segment across the entire Corridor which (even remotely!) serves such a minimal ridership potential as Sarnia-London. That it once had more departures than even Toronto-Ottawa is just a relict from all the Toronto-Chicago through trains, but the moment "The International" (as the last remaining cross-border service) was cancelled (in 2004), even justifying a counter-peak train (85 and 88) in addition to the token peak train (84 and 87) became impossible and thus an obvious target for the 2012 cuts.

Sarnia's city population is just 72,047, which makes it not that much larger than Herten (pop. 62,204) and Nordhorn (pop. 55,242), both of which are German cities which didn't have any passenger rail service for 39 (between May 1983 and December 2022) and 45 years (between May 1974 and July 2019), respectively. In the meanwhile, Bergkamen (pop. 49,475) has permanently lost its passenger rail service in 1983 and Garbsen (pop. 61,594) never had a rail station (though it has been connected to Hannover's tram network since 1996).
 
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Urban Sky said:
Sure, but there is no segment across the entire Corridor which (even remotely!) serves such a minimal ridership potential as Sarnia-London. That it once had more departures than even Toronto-Ottawa is just a relict from all the Toronto-Chicago through trains, but the moment "The International" (as the last remaining cross-border service) was cancelled (in 2004), even justifying a counter-peak train (85 and 88) in addition to the token peak train (84 and 87) became impossible and thus an obvious target for the 2012 cuts.

Sarnia's city population is just 72,047, which makes it not that much larger than Herten (pop. 62,204) and Nordhorn (pop. 55,242), both of which are German cities which didn't have any passenger rail service for 39 (between May 1983 and December 2022) and 45 years (between May 1974 and July 2019), respectively. In the meanwhile, Bergkamen (pop. 49,475) has permanently lost its passenger rail service in 1983 and Garbsen (pop. 61,594) never had a rail station (though it has been connected to Hannover's tram network since 1996).
Click to expand...
How many through trains to Chicago via Sarnia were there in 1979?
 
reaperexpress said:
How many through trains to Chicago via Sarnia were there in 1979?
Click to expand...
Zero, but you are accidentally making my main point, which was:
Urban Sky said:
That it once had more departures than even Toronto-Ottawa is just a relict from all the Toronto-Chicago through trains, [...]
Click to expand...
If we compare the timetables of post-war Canada in steps of approximately 15 years:
1945/04/291960/04/241976/04/251986/06/012005/05/01
#14 ("The International")
20:00 CHI
04:20 PTH
04:40 SARN
05:47 LNDN
07:05 BRTF
08:50 TRTO		#14 ("The International")
20:10 CHI
04:20 PTH
04:40 SARN
05:52 LNDN
07:09 BRTF
08:55 TRTO		(cancelled as of 1971/01/02)
#606 (Motor Coach)
05:20 SARN
06:55 LNDN		#82
05:50 SARN
07:05 LNDN
08:01 BRTF
09:10 TRTO		#82 (TEMPO)
05:40 SARN
06:40 LNDN
07:45 BRTF
08:55 TRTO		#80 ("St. Clair")
06:50 SARN
07:55 LNDN
08:50 BRTF
10:10 TRTO		#84
06:45 SARN
07:52 LNDN
09:11 KITC
10:52 TRTO
#6 ("The Inter City Limited")
23:00 CHI
09:35 PTH
10:20 SARN
12:10 LNDN
13:32 BRTF
15:25 TRTO		#6 ("Inter-City Ltd.")
22:50 CHI
09:35 PTH
10:00 SARN
12:10 LNDN
13:28 BRTF
15:25 TRTO		#84 (TEMPO)


09:00 SARN
10:10 LNDN
11:12 BRTF
12:30 TRTO		#682


08:00 SARN
09:15 LNDN
10:11 BRTF
11:35 TRTO		(cancelled as of 1990/01/15)
#620 (Motor Coach)
16:40 SARN
18:15 LNDN		(cancelled as of 1959/10/25)#86 (TEMPO)
13:50 SARN
14:50 LNDN
16:00 BRTF
17:14 TRTO		#84
12:20 SARN
13:30 LNDN
14:35 BRTF
16:00 TRTO		(cancelled as of 1990/01/15)
#20 (Maple Leaf)
09:40 CHI
18:05 PTH
18:25 SARN
19:45 LNDN
21:00 BRTF
22:15 TRTO		#20 (Maple Leaf)
10:00 CHI
18:05 PTH
18:25 SARN
19:35 LNDN
20:43 BRTF
22:05 TRTO		#88 (TEMPO)


18:31 SARN
19:35 LNDN
21:11 OAKV
21:40 TRTO		#88 ("The International")
10:05 CHI
17:20 PTH
18:10 SARN
19:15 LNDN
20:07 BRTF
21:25 TRTO		#88


19:00 SARN
20:00 LNDN
21:26 KITC
23:01 TRTO

As you can see above, all trains VIA operated from Sarnia until the 1990 cuts can trace themselves back to Chicago-Toronto trains, even if the overnight #14 had morphed into a midday departure. The only exception is the morning commuter train, which coincidentally is the only train to survive until this day. The other train to survive the 1990 cuts was the (by that time: last) cross-border train, which only survived until the next round of cuts (2012) after it was cut back to a national train in 2004...

Oh, and when we talk about Sarnia's morning commuter train (at that time: #80), that train was already rerouted via Kitchener (rather than Brantford) in October 1986 and thus even before the 1990 cuts:
1733669161883.png



TLDR: We can hate the 1990 and 2012 cuts all we want, but I don’t have to run the gravity model to find it indefensible to argue that SARN-LNDN is underserved in comparison to any other Corridor segment. The rise and fall of passenger rail service to Sarnia was always linked to cross-border rail services and with these gone for good its current service level is adequate when comparing with the single train between London and Kitchener and the complete absence of services to cities like Peterborough, Trois-Riviéres and Sherbrooke…
 
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Urban Sky said:
Sure, but there is no segment across the entire Corridor which (even remotely!) serves such a minimal ridership potential as Sarnia-London. That it once had more departures than even Toronto-Ottawa is just a relict from all the Toronto-Chicago through trains, but the moment "The International" (as the last remaining cross-border service) was cancelled (in 2004), even justifying a counter-peak train (85 and 88) in addition to the token peak train (84 and 87) became impossible and thus an obvious target for the 2012 cuts.

Sarnia's city population is just 72,047, which makes it not that much larger than Herten (pop. 62,204) and Nordhorn (pop. 55,242), both of which are German cities which didn't have any passenger rail service for 39 (between May 1983 and December 2022) and 45 years (between May 1974 and July 2019), respectively. In the meanwhile, Bergkamen (pop. 49,475) has permanently lost its passenger rail service in 1983 and Garbsen (pop. 61,594) never had a rail station (though it has been connected to Hannover's tram network since 1996).
Click to expand...
Ha I appreciate this discussion everyone, but I just want to be clear that I only would want one train a day from Sarnia; the return of the 3:20 train, even if it was at the expense of the 5 hour one through the GEXR sub.

At the very least, until the track conditions are fixed to be faster.

I agree that 4 trains a day in todays age is too much for Sarnia's population.

However its also my opinion that no one takes the 5 hour train. Ridership would quadruple if the 3:20 train was reinstated.
 
robmausser said:
Ha I appreciate this discussion everyone, but I just want to be clear that I only would want one train a day from Sarnia; the return of the 3:20 train, even if it was at the expense of the 5 hour one through the GEXR sub.

At the very least, until the track conditions are fixed to be faster.

I agree that 4 trains a day in todays age is too much for Sarnia's population.

However its also my opinion that no one takes the 5 hour train. Ridership would quadruple if the 3:20 train was reinstated.
Click to expand...
Yeah I was also talking about 2 trains/day to Sarnia, which is why I've been talking about increasing the London-Brantford-Toronto frequency from 5/day to 7/day.
Capture2.PNG


Regardless of how much background transport demand there is from Sarnia to London and Toronto, the train would capture a much greater proportion of that demand if it didn't take such an absurdly long time to get to Toronto, and if it had more than just one possible departure time. Cutting an hour off the travel time to Toronto and doubling the frequency should be able to double the ridership between Sarnia and London, without doubling the operating cost (since shorter travel times translate to lower operating expenses per trip).
 
reaperexpress said:
Yeah I was also talking about 2 trains/day to Sarnia, which is why I've been talking about increasing the London-Brantford-Toronto frequency from 5/day to 7/day.
View attachment 617793

Regardless of how much background transport demand there is from Sarnia to London and Toronto, the train would capture a much greater proportion of that demand if it didn't take such an absurdly long time to get to Toronto, and if it had more than just one possible departure time. Cutting an hour off the travel time to Toronto and doubling the frequency should be able to double the ridership between Sarnia and London, without doubling the operating cost (since shorter travel times translate to lower operating expenses per trip).
Click to expand...

Agreed. But looking at your chart, I still would make the 6:10 sarnia train the express and not the 6:25 London. Its my opinion that the longer the trip, the more express the service should be. 3:54 is still not great, although better than 5 hours for sure haha.

Perhaps that 6:25 London trip is a commuter service though, and they are trying to get in before 9am work start.
 
Willybru21 said:
Concept art for the new equipment:
Click to expand...
Whos concept art is this? the renderings align the canadian to more of a tourist train feel like the rocky mountaineer. then again most ride it for tourism purposes unlike when it was running in the 70s.
looks vaguely like a venture shell customized.

1733772207356.png

that is such a low bar ........ 😒

its also quite depressing that this project is picking up pace simply because the current govt is at risk of falling. where were they for the last 10 years?
 
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cplchanb said:
Whos concept art is this? the renderings align the canadian to more of a tourist train feel like the rocky mountaineer. then again most ride it for tourism purposes unlike when it was running in the 70s.
looks vaguely like a venture shell customized.

View attachment 618402
that is such a low bar ........ 😒

its also quite depressing that this project is picking up pace simply because the current govt is at risk of falling. where were they for the last 10 years?
Click to expand...
Ain't nobody using this train for transit purposes. Let's be realistic.
 
Urban Sky said:
I find the use of “transit” for any VIA services rather confusing: TTC and STM are transit, VIA is intercity or regional passenger transport.
Click to expand...

While I agree that transit isn't quite the right word, no other word is quite right either. Intercity travel doesn't quite convey the right meaning, since even the tourists are traveling between cities on The Canadian.
 
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