Seven people who might replace Premier Kathleen Wynne
There are whispers at Queen’s Park about possible successors if Wynne’s 25 per cent hydro rebate fails to soothe angry voters.
The job is not open and no one is plotting regicide to trigger a vacancy.
But there are whispers at Queen’s Park about who might replace Premier Kathleen Wynne as Liberal leader if her dramatic 25 per cent hydro rate cut
gambit fails to improve the governing party’s popularity.
Asked on Thursday if she will stick around to fight next year’s election, Wynne was firm.
“Yes I am,” the premier told a huge media throng moments after unveiling the largest electricity rate reduction scheme in Ontario history.
Wynne — who succeeded Dalton McGuinty in
2013 and brought the Liberals back from the dead with a majority
victory the next year — is resolute about leading her party into another campaign.
“My job is not finished … I’m going to run in the election in 2018,” she said Friday in an
interview with Matt Galloway on CBC Radio’s Metro Morning.
Transportation Minister Steven Del Duca is seen with Mayor John Tory in 2016. (Richard Lautens / Toronto Star) | Order this photo
There is, however, mounting pressure on her from within her own party because little-known rookie Progressive Conservative Leader Patrick Brown stubbornly enjoys a double-digit lead in most public opinion
polls.
That’s why she
stopped Toronto Mayor John Tory’s proposal to toll the Gardiner Expressway and Don Valley Parkway, which was fashionable downtown but hated in the 905 (and opposed by Brown and NDP Leader Andrea Horwath.)
And it’s why she is slashing the
hydro rates that are particularly crippling in rural Ontario.
“The connection between those issues is that there is an affordability quotient in each one of them,” the premier, who has been criticized for ignoring pocketbook matters, told Metro Morning.
Last fall, Wynne fought back tears both behind closed doors at a caucus
retreat and later in front of delegates at the party’s annual general meeting in Ottawa as she took
responsibility for the Liberals’ political woes.
While she is well-regarded by her ministers and MPPs — unlike the introverted McGuinty the sociable premier genuinely enjoys their company — they are mindful that her personal unpopularity could cost them all.
The jangled nerves of many elected members are shared by party insiders who pray the hydro fix is a political panacea.
“I hope this works. If it doesn’t, then I think she will have to do some serious soul-searching after the House rises,” said one senior Liberal, referring to the legislature’s summer break that begins June 1.
“Look, we can’t let the premier take the party down with her,” said another grim-faced top Grit, who also spoke on condition of anonymity in order to discuss internal party machinations.
“The window for making a (leadership) change is narrowing. Fast,” stressed a third high-ranking official.
If Wynne opted to take one for the team this summer, the Liberals — who choose their leaders at delegated conventions — could hold a leadership election in the fall.
That would give a new leader/premier just enough time for a throne speech to outline a fresh Liberal agenda before Christmas and craft an election-friendly budget by the June 7, 2018 campaign.
But who could succeed the battle-tested and formidable Wynne?
Many names are mentioned — quietly — in the corridors of power.
They include:
- Attorney General Yasir Naqvi, a former Liberal party president who represents the riding of Ottawa Centre. Naqvi is especially popular with the Liberals’ youth wing.
(Andrew Vaughan)
- Health Minister Eric Hoskins, the St. Paul’s MPP who backed Wynne after finishing last in the 2013 Liberal leadership contest. A Rhodes scholar, Hoskins is also an Order of Canada recipient for his aid work in overseas war zones.
(Christopher Katsarov)
- Finance Minister Charles Sousa, another 2013 leadership also-ran. Sousa will balance the books this spring and the affable Mississauga South MPP’s seat is crucial in the Grit roadmap to electoral victory next year.
(Darren Calabrese)
- Transportation Minister Steven Del Duca, the Vaughan MPP who was instrumental in derailing the Gardiner/DVP toll proposal. Del Duca is presiding over a massive expansion of public transit, including a subway extension to his 905 riding to open this year.
- Children and Youth Services Minister Michael Coteau, the Don Valley East MPP, who won praise from the parents of autistic children for a plan to improve therapy. Coteau was also a key player in the successful 2015 Pan Am Games in Toronto.
(Todd Korol)
- Education Minister Mitzie Hunter, the Scarborough-Guildwood MPP. Hunter has quietly and effectively inked union contract extensions with teachers through 2019, eliminating a potential electoral headache for the government next year.
(Bernard Weil)
- Former minister Sandra Pupatello, the runner-up to Wynne in the 2013 Liberal race. Pupatello, now a successful businesswoman, is a populist firebrand who carries little of the baggage from McGuinty's scandal-plagued final years and none from the Wynne era.
(Nathan Denette)
So there would be no shortage of candidates if the premier’s job is vacated.