kEiThZ
Superstar
Finally.....
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- Thread starter Towered
- Start date
Towered
Senior Member
We'll see if it actually leads to something. Transporting and supporting a large force across the river won't be easy, though it might be their best option now considering they're bogged down by relentless minefields across the rest of the front...
kEiThZ
Superstar
What it does is force the Russians to move troops. They are going to be run ragged constantly moving to a new threat area. This wears down and makes soldiers far less capable. If you hold a trench for a few weeks, you know every leaf you can see. If you get a new trench every 2 months, you won't be able to get smart on a position before you move.
Eventually, this will make the Russians vulnerable somewhere.
Towered
Senior Member
Eventually is the key word. The worry is that the Russians can buy time by bogging down the Ukrainian offensive and hold on to the land they've stolen into fall, after which the Ukrainians won't be able to mount a significant attack until next spring, by which time the Russians will no doubt have fortified their positions even more. The Ukrainians have maybe 2 months left tops of decent weather in which to make notable progress, but it's hard to see how they'll do that given the way things are right now.
And will the Western powers have the appetite to keep supplying Ukraine with weapons into another year? And what about giving them the ones they've been asking for since the beginning that probably would have given them the edge they needed to break through, rather than handcuff them and then whine that they aren't winning fast enough?
If this morphs into a dreaded frozen conflict, the blame for the failure will once again lie with the West, despite their bluster.
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AlvinofDiaspar
Moderator
kEiThZ
Superstar
Northern Light
Superstar
Circulating this to my contacts who are keenly interested in the conflict.
Some of it was new to them, some not. They're now off in search of further info.
****
What came back to me, of interest, was that the cross-river raid by Ukraine has apparently been very successful. Reports one Russian Unit took 40% casualties. Lots of PoWs, apparently.
Northern Light
Superstar
On the bridge, Russian denials of any damage; further info pending, but the attack is confirmed by multiple sources:
Ukraine war: Crimea bridge targeted by missiles, Russia says
The bridge that connects Russia to occupied Crimea has been attacked at least twice before.
www.bbc.com
Towered
Senior Member
It's inevitable that Kerch bridge will collapse into the sea. That will be a great day.
Northern Light
Superstar
That's certainly plausible; and probably a good thing for Ukraine in the near term.
But there's something terribly sad about that.
The world really ought to evolve past narrow geo-political interests and silly empire-building ego-strokes, to a more inter-connected, mutually-beneficial model.
I'm not one for kumbaya nonsense; but when the E.U. was beginning to find its feet (10-20 years back), you could really hope for that the world was moving in that direction, if not quickly, then steadily.
Regrettably, leaders around much of the globe have seen more virtue in conflict and in pot-stirring that in solving humanity's common problems.
Sigh, End Rant.
yrt+viva=1system
Senior Member
The Guardian is reporting that the attack on the Kerch Bridge was not successful:
https://www.theguardian.com/world/2...s-at-kerch-bridge-connecting-crimea-to-russia
https://www.theguardian.com/world/2...s-at-kerch-bridge-connecting-crimea-to-russia
AlvinofDiaspar
Moderator
We need better anti-bridge armaments.
AoD
AoD
Towered
Senior Member
It's only a matter of time. I assure you the Ukrainians will not stop attacking it until it's destroyed.
Admiral Beez
Superstar
The problem is that most missiles like Storm Shadow and Tomahawk just punch a relatively repairable hole in the road bed.
With this in mind, the GBU-43/B MOAB (Massive Ordnance Air Blast) should do the trick.
Watch 'mother of all bombs' test run
In 2003, the US Department of Defense released footage of the Massive Ordnance Air Blast Bomb test (MOAB).
www.bbc.co.uk
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AlvinofDiaspar
Moderator
The problem is that most missiles like Storm Shadow and Tomahawk just punch a relatively repairable hole in the road bed.
With this in mind, the GBU-43/B MOAB (Massive Ordnance Air Blast) should do the trick.
Watch 'mother of all bombs' test run
In 2003, the US Department of Defense released footage of the Massive Ordnance Air Blast Bomb test (MOAB).www.bbc.co.uk
I am thinking of something like a shaped charge.
AoD