News   GLOBAL  |  Apr 02, 2020
 7.4K     0 
News   GLOBAL  |  Apr 01, 2020
 37K     0 
News   GLOBAL  |  Apr 01, 2020
 3.7K     0 

Who gets your vote for Mayor of Toronto?

  • Ana Bailao

    Votes: 18 16.4%
  • Brad Bradford

    Votes: 3 2.7%
  • Olivia Chow

    Votes: 58 52.7%
  • Mitzie Hunter

    Votes: 2 1.8%
  • Josh Matlow

    Votes: 20 18.2%
  • Mark Saunders

    Votes: 4 3.6%
  • Other

    Votes: 5 4.5%

  • Total voters
  • Poll closed .
Unfortunately, I anticipate Mark Saunders will capitalize on the high profile TTC crimes and maybe even win on the tough-on-crime issue alone. It could be palatable to a lot of older voters, who are the most reliable voters in a typically low-turnout by-election.
I think Saunders is hoping Holyday doesn't run, as the he'll be able to pickup alot of conservative voters in Etobicoke.

I'm getting the feeling the more he's questioned in the race, the more he'll be found as a candidate lacking.
At this point I’m inclined to reject any “insiders”. Tarring them all with the same brush is bad, I know, but considering the city’s current state, I keep thinking “guilty” wrt all the present in-city-hall candidates. Sorry Josh Matlow - you tried hard but you didn’t build alliances.

Olivia Chow is an exception. She was once also in the system, of course, but at this point I’d give her my vote. She lost the race once, which was sad. She provided moments of clarity while everyone else blathered (call it guy thing). When the fancy-assed transit ideas were being thrown around, she said “just buy a whole bunch of buses”. She was right. But she got outguyed.

I really like Peñalosa, but he can’t sell. I’d put him over transit, to be sure.

The new administration has to fire the traffic people, and the transit people, and replace them with fresh brains.
The new administration has to fire the traffic people

There are some pretty good ones in there. Yes, there are some bad choices; alot of those are political/inherited.

, and the transit people

Yes, Leary and his closest team members should be invited to exit with all due haste.


Several people at Parks, Forestry and Recreation should go too.

Olivia Chow confirms she’s considering mayoral run

The former NDP MP confirmed to the Star that she’s strongly considering joining the race as supporters tout her experience training activists in political organizing.​

From link.

Olivia Chow is confirming a Star report that she is pondering a run for mayor, saying Toronto can be “so much better.”

The former NDP MP and city councillor responded in a brief statement, on Sunday, to Star inquiries about her potential mayoral candidacy.

“I want to let you know I am considering running. I love this city and I know it can be so much better — for everyone,” wrote Chow, would become one of the highest profile candidates in the forming, crowded race to replace John Tory.

In a story published last Wednesday, sources close to Chow said advisers were urging her to run given that other potential NDP-aligned candidates, including former councillors Joe Cressy and Mike Layton, had declined overtures.

Amid what promises to be a host of centrist and right-leaning candidates splitting that vote, Chow could target her message to progressives and potentially win with 30 per cent or less citywide support, one political organizer said.

Other progressives expected to run, with a goal of ending 12 years of right-leaning rule at city hall, including urbanist Gil Penalosa, who finished a distant second to Tory in last October’s civic election, and Coun. Josh Matlow.

While Chow herself did not respond to an interview request, some of the people encouraging her to run did agree to speak on the record.

Kofi Hope, chief executive of strategic advisory firm Monumental Projects and an adjunct professor at University of Toronto’s School of Geography and Planning, helped Chow’s 2014 mayoral bid that ended in third place to Tory and now-premier Doug Ford.

“Her response to that campaign, which didn’t meet expectations, was to get out into the grassroots,” and form Institute for Change Leaders, a non-profit that has trained activists in political organizing since 2016, Hope said.

“It’s the real deal with Olivia. She didn’t just kind of go off to sip champagne with elites. She’s been on the ground with working class people, with racialized folks, with Indigenous folks, with folks who are really struggling, and helping them to organize themselves to take back power.”

As to the prospect of Chow working with Ford, a Progressive Conservative, if she runs and wins, Hope noted Ford’s close working relationship with Liberal Deputy Prime Minister Chrystia Freeland.

“I think some of that tension could lead to interesting solutions,” for the city, said Hope, who writes freelance columns for the Star.

JP Hornick, president of the Ontario Public Service Employees Union, said Toronto needs a new mayor with municipal experience who can restore deteriorating services with “a vision for what Toronto can be.”

Hornick, who moved to the Eglinton Avenue and Jane Street area after long living downtown, said Chow’s work with activists across the city could help her, as mayor, “bring a vision of how to build Toronto through the suburbs from the downtown.

“While some may see (Chow) as a downtown lefty, since leaving politics she has … been able to expand who she is and really walk her values,” through work with the institute, Hornick said.

“I think she has a lot to offer those of us not living in the downtown core … I don’t think that she’s siloed herself.”

Myer Siemiatycki, a political scientist and longtime city hall watcher, said Chow would face some challenges returning to politics after more than seven years.

If she runs some of her policies might overlap with those of Matlow and Liberal MPP Mitzie Hunter, who is also expected to join the race, he said, adding Chow will need to remind Torontonians of her work over more than 20 years in office.

“That includes her ability to collaborate across political lines to forge consensus,” Siemiatycki said, noting that conservative mayor Mel Lastman appointed then-councillor Chow the city’s child advocate, and tasked her and her late husband Jack Layton with working to alleviate homelessness.

People can register as a candidate in the June 26 byelection between April 3 and May 12.

Those who have committed to running include Matlow, former city councillor Ana Bailão, former police chief Mark Saunders, outspoken former councillor Giorgio Mammoliti and former Toronto Sun columnist Anthony Furey.

Those who have said they are considering candidacy include Hunter and city councillors Brad Bradford and Stephen Holyday.

Correction — March 27, 2023: A previous version of this article identified Coun. Josh Matlow as “a left-leaning provincial Liberal.” While Matlow ran as a Liberal in a 2002 byelection, he is not a party member.

From the above:


Notes: (by me)

Leader by age cohort:

18-24: Chow
25-34: Matlow
35-44: Chow
45-54: Saunders
55-64: Saunders
65+ : Saunders

Top Candidates by Male/Female

Male: Saunders
Female: Chow

Candidates scoring at least 7% and within 7 points of the leader:

Chow, Saunders, Matlow


Based on a steady-state Candidate list these numbers favour Saunders as he leads in the more likely to vote older demos; however, women tend to vote more than men do, though this narrows significantly with age.

Whose votes would go to whom over time is an interesting question.
Last edited:

Olivia Chow confirms she’s considering mayoral run

The former NDP MP confirmed to the Star that she’s strongly considering joining the race as supporters tout her experience training activists in political organizing.​

From link.

Experience training activists sounds to me like something that is more valuable outside the Mayor's office. I would rather hear about bold plans for the city or that she has thrown her support behind a strong candidate with those bold plans.

Olivia Chow confirms she’s considering mayoral run

The former NDP MP confirmed to the Star that she’s strongly considering joining the race as supporters tout her experience training activists in political organizing.​

From link.
How does confirming someone is thinking about something confirm anything? I’m thinking about making some tea, and when I do or not make the tea the act shall be confirmed. The thought is irrelevant, Olivia Chow is probably considering lots of things at any moment.
Lest we forget, another thing that weighed down upon Olivia's '14 mayoral run was that she was afflicted by partial facial paralysis through a bout w/Ramsay Hunt Syndrome type 2, which impaired her ability to speak and to articulate her ideas (and led some to wonder whether she was being "pushed onto the stage" by an overeager left wing re said mayoral run)
None of the candidates (so far) are appealing to me, I want someone who can manage the budget/paperwork of the city AND stand up to the province. Tory had the energy to be high profile and enjoyed the role. The abruptness of his resignation is perplexing - just like Saunders.