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Back to our regularly scheduled programming, The Star is out with a new Ipsos poll.

@mjl08 must have slept in or it would have been posted by now..... LOL

Olivia Chow enters final week of mayoral campaign leading in every corner of Toronto, new poll says

Ipsos survey for the Toronto Star and Global News pegs Chow’s citywide support at 38 per cent compared to only 14 per cent for her nearest rival Mark Saunders.

www.thestar.com

Chow 38
Saunders 14
Bailao 12
Matlow 10
Furey 7
Hunter 6
Bradford 6

Sounds about right, especially where Chow is trending. If she can push through the 40% barrier, that'd be a very successful campaign. I'm sure her team will be looking at an extremely thorough election day operation to make sure.

If Saunders loses, and can't win in his own backyard (North York), does he go away from politics for awhile or does he position himself for the inevitable Federal election?

I have the same question of Bailao as well, but think this could be the end of her in city politics, with her pivoting to a Bonnie Crombie OLP.

 

[DSC]

Sounds about right, especially where Chow is trending. If she can push through the 40% barrier, that'd be a very successful campaign. I'm sure her team will be looking at an extremely thorough election day operation to make sure.

If Saunders loses, and can't win in his own backyard (North York), does he go away from politics for awhile or does he position himself for the inevitable Federal election?

I have the same question of Bailao as well, but think this could be the end of her in city politics, with her pivoting to a Bonnie Crombie OLP.

I honestly fail to see why anyone would support Saunders for mayor or as a (doubtless Conservative) MP. He was not a good police chief and one can point to so many things that went wrong (the McArthur mess or the failure to find Tess Richey's body) or were simply ignored (traffic offences). As he was pretty much given all the $$ he wanted, I do not think 'budget pressures' are an excuse. The sooner he is defeated, the sooner we may stop hearing about him.

 

[picard102]

I honestly fail to see why anyone would support Saunders for mayor or as a (doubtless Conservative) MP.

If they don't want Chow, he seems like the best bet to coalesce behind.

 

[AlvinofDiaspar]

Sounds about right, especially where Chow is trending. If she can push through the 40% barrier, that'd be a very successful campaign. I'm sure her team will be looking at an extremely thorough election day operation to make sure.

If Saunders loses, and can't win in his own backyard (North York), does he go away from politics for awhile or does he position himself for the inevitable Federal election?

I have the same question of Bailao as well, but think this could be the end of her in city politics, with her pivoting to a Bonnie Crombie OLP.

He can always serve again as Doug Ford's Ontario Place advsior <snicker>

AoD

 

[marcus_a_j]

Anecdotally, my friend lives one block away from Bradford, and says that there are five times the number of Chow signs in the area than Bradford signs.

I'm still seeing tonnes of Gong signs, mostly broken and on the ground.

I live two blocks away from Bradford and Chow definitely has the most signs in this area. Third-most is Bailao. I've only lived here for 9 months, but speaking with neighbours on my street, there is a lot of Anti-Bradford. Of course that's only limited to a dozen or so people, but many long-time residents have not been happy with him - especially when he used his Councilor's Office email list for his campaign. I unsubscribed after that.

 

[DSC]

I live two blocks away from Bradford and Chow definitely has the most signs in this area. Third-most is Bailao. I've only lived here for 9 months, but speaking with neighbours on my street, there is a lot of Anti-Bradford. Of course that's only limited to a dozen or so people, but many long-time residents have not been happy with him - especially when he used his Councilor's Office email list for his campaign. I unsubscribed after that.

I think he is not allowed to do this - you could ask the Integrity Commissioner. integrity@toronto.ca

 

[marcus_a_j]

I think he is not allowed to do this - you could ask the Integrity Commissioner. integrity@toronto.ca

Ya, I'm 95% sure it's not allowed!

 

[PinkLucy]

I just got a campaign text from Mark Saunders. I would love to know how he/his team got my phone number.

 

[Eug]

Back to our regularly scheduled programming, The Star is out with a new Ipsos poll.

@mjl08 must have slept in or it would have been posted by now..... LOL

Olivia Chow enters final week of mayoral campaign leading in every corner of Toronto, new poll says

Ipsos survey for the Toronto Star and Global News pegs Chow’s citywide support at 38 per cent compared to only 14 per cent for her nearest rival Mark Saunders.

www.thestar.com

Chow 38
Saunders 14
Bailao 12
Matlow 10
Furey 7
Hunter 6
Bradford 6

Hmm... I guess I was wrong on my prediction. I thought it'd be Chow #1, Bailao #2, and the others further down in the polls. Guess not. Anyhow...

Are the candidates allowed to spam us by text? Is this authorized by Mark Saunders? I got this by text today:

I'm Mark Saunders running for Mayor
If Olivia Chow wins, she'll defund the police & hike taxes. Only I can stop her.
Reply YES to Support Me!
Stop to Stop

 

[EddyMCD]

Do we think Chow would actually try and create a true rent control system (no raising rents on tenant turnover)? This one really scares me as it's a great way to ensure we don't ever build any more rental housing.

 

[marcus_a_j]

Hmm... I guess I was wrong on my prediction. I thought it'd be Chow #1, Bailao #2, and the others further down in the polls. Guess not. Anyhow...

Are the candidates allowed to spam us by text? Is this authorized by Mark Saunders? I got this by text today:

I'm Mark Saunders running for Mayor
If Olivia Chow wins, she'll defund the police & hike taxes. Only I can stop her.
Reply YES to Support Me!
Stop to Stop

I'd reply: "I support defunding the police and raising taxes. Thank you for advising who I should vote for"

 

[Eug]

I'd reply: "I support defunding the police and raising taxes. Thank you for advising who I should vote for"

Heheh. Actually I did a lookup of the number and people report the number is associated with scammers and telemarketers. So it's probably either some existing bulk texting service or else a spoofed number.

 

[picard102]

Do we think Chow would actually try and create a true rent control system (no raising rents on tenant turnover)? This one really scares me as it's a great way to ensure we don't ever build any more rental housing.

I'm sure Doug would step in if his developer friends didn't like it. Does the city even have the power to cap rent?
Either way, a true rent control would be great.

 

[John_Dee]

I didn't bother with advance voting this year since the polling station on the day itself is far more conveniently situated for my purposes. I expect I'll be pulling the lever for Chow, though I can't claim to be feeling a great deal of enthusiasm for the prospect. Like many of you, I think her time has come and gone. I also think her late husband had most (possibly even all) of the real political talent in their partnership. Not to come off sounding like too much like an asshole, I should add that I do think she's a genuinely nice, decent sort who means well. Maybe that will be enough. I'd rather vote for Matlow, but he's not gonna win.

As for the rest of them? Well...Those at the top of the remaining 600 or so that is? Heh, heh. Hunter seems like a likeable person, but I don't know that that's enough to vote for someone. Bailao seems sensible and intelligent, even if a tad too conservative for my tastes, so she isn't likely to be a disaster if she gets in. Whatsisname, Furey, appears to be doing surprisingly decently for, y'know, a fringe nut candidate, but that's exactly what he is: a fringe nut candidate. Saunders really has come off as a straight-up goon (in every sense of the word) in this election. And poor Brad Brad has cemented himself as nothing more than a petulant little punk. Bwah.

All in all, I'll be happy enough if the new Mayor isn't an out-and-out Ford bootlicker. In this bunch, mayhaps that's the best one can hope for.

 

[toaster29]

I didn't bother with advance voting this year since the polling station on the day itself is far more conveniently situated for my purposes. I expect I'll be pulling the lever for Chow, though I can't claim to be feeling a great deal of enthusiasm for the prospect. Like many of you, I think her time has come and gone. I also think her late husband had most (possibly even all) of the real political talent in their partnership. Not to come off sounding like too much like an asshole, I should add that I do think she's a genuinely nice, decent sort who means well. Maybe that will be enough. I'd rather vote for Matlow, but he's not gonna win.

I never understood the notion of only voting for the person who is going to win. Especially when there isn't any fear of a close contender to necessitate strategic voting.