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It's always hard to predict the future.Interesting article.
I think the biggest change we will see over the next 20 to 30 years will be the phasing out of all catenary supply and all streetcars moving over to battery power and, perhaps in very long routes, hydrogen.
Overhead wires are ugly, expensive to maintain, and are susceptible to the wraths of Mother Nature making them less reliable when people rely on transit the most.
Many cities in Europe are already phasing them systems over to battery especially in the more historic cores where they are a visual blight. That said, they are also making inroads in NA as the Detroit Q Line is catenary free and the new Charlotte streetcar is planned on being so as well. As battery technology continues to develop at a truly exponential rate and resulting in plunging prices, higher reliability, and more distance with quicker recharge times, catenary will become a technology of diminishing returns.
As the batteries become systems where charging is only required once a day, it also results in much cheaper electricity costs over catenary as batteries can be recharged overnight when hydro rates are their lowest as opposed to catenary which has to supply it's most frequent service when hydro rates are at their highest.
You need to look at other countries that have tram system that are older than Toronto as well equipment to see Toronto has a problem.There's a lot of other things that are susceptible to the wrath of mother nature, too. Inclement weather rendering the roads unusable is a big thing (and I venture that this problem crops up more frequently than frozen overhead wires do), not to mention vehicle sub-systems which may not play well with super cold weather (remember the issues the CLRVs and ALRVs had with pneumatic air lines).
Talked to a number of supervisors who were young on Sat who were calling for the removal of most streetcar lines as they are caught up in traffic, can't pass each other nor able to backup if caught in a jam or off route.
One problem (apart from lack of money!) is that the TTC does not think or remember! Several years ago (ca 2014?) the Board asked for a report on desirable additional 'curves' at junctions. This Report was accepted and recommended that several curves be added when the track in those locations was being rebuilt. In at least two cases (Church/Carlton and Broadview/Gerrard) the TTC "forgot" about this when the track was being rebuilt. (Church/Carleton is being rebuilt now.)Of course, these things are very remedy-able
Passing track is not a particularly complicated idea, expensive to put everywhere, but not overly expensive if slipped in a few strategic locations during routine reconstruction.
Adding turning movements during reconstruction (something the TTC has missed twice in the last few years); and filling in a couple of diversion track gaps would do wonders.)
In the west end, I think track on Dufferin from Queen to College would be extremely useful.
In the east end, there is a need for a N-S connection between Gerrard and Queen, east of Broadview and west of Coxwell.
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As discussed here many times, there are countless measures to speed up streetcars, ranging from better transit priority, to removing some excessively close stops, to better enforcing existing turn restrictions, to created new left turn lanes in strategic locations, particularly to avoid one streetcar route blocking another (EB Queen to NB Broadview).
Of course, it all costs money; and requires political will.
This is not the first time that you've claimed that TTC supervisors have told you this. And yet, I know of not one supervisor who would actually say it.Talked to a number of supervisors who were young on Sat who were calling for the removal of most streetcar lines as they are caught up in traffic, can't pass each other nor able to backup if caught in a jam or off route.
Unless you know every supervisor and talk to them, you can only comment on the few you talked to.This is not the first time that you've claimed that TTC supervisors have told you this. And yet, I know of not one supervisor who would actually say it.
Dan
How young were they? Which department?I have 2 other people with me at the time that will backup my claim since they were the first to start the conversation.
I place the young supervisor in their 30-40's and the other in the 50's. As for division, they were dealing with the TIFF mess on King at Spadina with buses replacing the streetcar on 504How young were they? Which department?
It's not just a question of if the wires will need replacing, the question will also be can the rolling stock handle it? The next 60 cars that are on order will also run on overhead wire, and in 20 years neither they, nor the youngest of the initial order, will be ready yet for replacement (also, given the size of the fleet, I venture any replacement of the Flexity fleet will be done in one fell swoop like they did with the CLRVs and ALRVs, so I expect that the oldest Flexitys will make it to 40 or beyond). You need to fully eliminate all vehicles without off wire capability before you can discuss eliminating wires.Even in 20 years I don't think Toronto will be doing any wholesale pull down of the catenary infrastructure but rather just a slow and steady phase out as wires need replacing, they simply won't bother.