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gabe said:
DeSantis has dropped out and has endorsed Trump.


www.nbcnews.com

Ron DeSantis suspends his presidential bid and endorses Trump

The move comes two days before the primary in the state, where he was projected to fall behind both former President Donald Trump and former U.N. Ambassador Nikki Haley.
www.nbcnews.com www.nbcnews.com
Click to expand...
Good riddance, not that what remains is any better. Endorsing Trump is the very worst sycophancy. All that remains of this Republican farce is whether Haley bows down before the anointed one.
 
He is going up against a very unpopular President in Joe Biden. Joe Biden is facing many of the same problems Jusitn Trudeau is facing. The cost of living crisis. Joe Biden has the added burden of the US getting involved in multiple wars.
 
In respect of the above discussion, I have extracted the most recent polling data from 538:

1706193464612.png


Trump ahead in every poll, though, only by 1 point in the most recent.

However, given the way U.S. presidential elections are set up, its really key to consider data from the swing states. In that vein, here's the most recent from Pennsylvania:

1706193556405.png


Georgia and Michigan:

1706193721938.png

Nevada:


1706193782492.png


The above is sourced from:

projects.fivethirtyeight.com

President: general election Polls

The latest political polls and polling averages from FiveThirtyEight.
projects.fivethirtyeight.com projects.fivethirtyeight.com
 
I think we're still too far out to draw any worthwhile insights from the polls. They don't matter much until 90 or so days out and they nearly always converge to a tight race.
 
Prominent geopolitical analyst Peter Zeihan on why he believes Trump has zero chance of winning the election:
 
Towered said:
Prominent geopolitical analyst Peter Zeihan on why he believes Trump has zero chance of winning the election:
Click to expand...
He's wrong more often than right. And he's making plenty of assumptions here. He talks, for example, about how military voters will be mad at abortion voters. Yet, then we see articles like this where a retired Lt. Col says he wants to tear down the system.

www.politico.com

‘Our System Needs to Be Broken, and He Is the Man to Do It’

Ted Johnson sincerely thought he wanted a uniter not a divider. It didn’t last long.
www.politico.com www.politico.com
 
Last edited:
W. K. Lis said:
Donald Trump is no computer programmer. He got a friend of a friend of a friend of a friend of a friend of a friend of a friend, who knew someone who could do a little (very little), if they didn't find out who wanted it done.
Click to expand...
All true, but he knows how to run and profit from a scam. Donald just made $1 billion on the backs of his idiot MAGA sheep.

www.theguardian.com

Trump to receive bonus worth $1.2bn for Trump Media stock performance

A price floor means ex-president gets bonus even though Trump Media & Technology Group’s stock value has plummeted
www.theguardian.com www.theguardian.com
 
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