5 crews for 60 minutes. 10 for 30 on the Lake shore.
15 new engineers is not that hard at all.
Get real!!!
How many hours are crews allow to Work a day and Week??
How many hours does GO run services??
How many weeks of holiday do crews get??
Who cover for the the crew that doesn't show up or has to leave early??
Who cover for the crew when it comes to Lunch and dinner time?
How many crew retire, quite or go and work for someone else after they are train yearly??
Spare ratio is 10%-20%, with 15% being the average.
There are 5 trains on the line currently, 7 days a week, operating 18 hrs a day for 60 minute headway. This means you will have 3 crew per train per day, 15 crews per day plus 3 spare in total. Now you got to add in your weekend crews. On top of that, 1-2 crews will be on holiday weekly. For argument, that is about 35 crews for 60 minutes service 7 days a week.
To go to 30 minute service, you are going to need about 70 crews.
To go to the plan 20 minute under the RTP, you up to about 100 and that is for the Lakeshore line only.
Now add hourly service on all the other line and move toward the 20 minute service, you are getting close to the 400 crew level.
On top of that, you are going to have express trains at peak time that will run every 5-15 minutes and over the 400 level you go.
It has been stated time after time, the Toronto West Corridor will see over 400 trains a day servicing Milton, Barrie, the airport, Georgetown and KW.
Not everyone can drive a train just like a bus, streetcar or subway let alone a car.
Doing shift work and split shift is not for everyone. I have done shift work during the summer school holidays and could get no sleep doing it.
It great to say what you said, but until you do planning and scheduling for any field of work, numbers are unreal.
I have done planning and scheduling not related to transit, but the method is still the same, with various unknown factors.
To find out what you need in the way of service, trains and crews starts with the total round trip time run time including time to move from one end of the train to the other. You need to add layover time for the crew also. With this info, you can decided what your headway will be and that will tell you how many trains will be on the line. The length of operation hours will tell you how many crews you are going to need per train and you have to add extra time to get trains to/from the yard.
Up to a few years ago, GO was subject to time slots, as to when they could run trains by CN and CP. Today, GO has more control over that on most lines other than the CP Milton line, until that line is 4 tracked.
Any new crews GO gets today, they add them to various lines as extra trains.
The day GO can start offering 30 minutes or less to all the lines is the day you will see a huge shift in transit use. If you can get service down to 10-15, people will use transit with out a second thought.
The current service even with full trains is the pits if you have to wait 2 hrs for a 1 hr service because a train broke down on the line. If you been on one of those trains, it not fun as well seeing your service being cancel.
You can do the math for all the lines to come up with a number of crews for hourly service and then move toward the RTP 2031 numbers to see how many crews are going to need by then.