Canada leads the world in High Speed Rail Studies!
It's still just an EA, a study to study the viability of a study that was completed 10 years ago. I won't believe HSR in any form is happening in ONT until the contracts are issued and new locomotives/train sets are ordered.
Here's what could happen*
(half humor, but also unfortunately half serious**)
- 2015-2069: Lots of delays will happen, to kick the symbollic football to the next government. Excuses and back-patting abound; pretending things are still proceeding (slowly).
- 2020s: GO RER electricification successfully completes to Kitchener within 10-15 years.
- 2020s: At least one obligatory symbollic HSR cancellation (electricification goes ahead anyway, under GO RER excuse) followed by a resurrection of HSR. Metrolinx announced as operator of future HSR under a new subsidary alongside Presto and UPX.
- 2020s: At least one obligatory survival cycle through an anti-HSR government.
- 2020s: Metrolinx announces a 250kph "GO RER HSR Express" Kitchener-Toronto (or insert catchy SmartTrack-style brand name) on existing GO RER ROW. Mentions upcoming London extension in 2030s and a Windsor planned "shortly thereafter".
- 2031: GO RER HSR Kitchener Express became operationally-profitable in 2031, having started operating in 2029. It pays for the big losses of the expensive unprofitable UPX Express.
- 2039 (approx): GO RER HSR finally electricifies to London, partially with new dedicated ROW from expropriated land
- 2040s: Jilted Windsor makes the HSR extension an election issue
- 2040s (late): USA finally electricifies
Empire Corridor*** Buffalo-NYC
- 2050s: Ontario finishes electricifying GO RER all the way to Niagara Falls, after many delays.
- 2050s: Some future federal government gets pissed off and funds HSR Toronto-Ottawa before poor Windsor happens.
- 2050s: Acela Express runs NYC-Niagara Falls. Amtrak-VIA discusses an Acela Maple Express. Feds electricifies Niagara bridge to connect electrified Empire Corridor to the electrified GO RER Niagara corridor.
- 2060s: Windsor finally gets HSR -- one year after Acela Maple Express train arrives at Toronto Union from New York City in a mere few hours (custom clearance sped up by onboard US Customs Robots and seatback videoconferences that eliminates stop at border).
* Assuming random colors in consecutive future provincial governments (red, blue, orange, green, or polka dotted)
** This is purely hypothetical. Personally, I hope full HSR route is an economic breakeven-plus reality in the 2030s
***
Did you know in year 1891, Buffalo had a bigger population than today? And that Empire Express had a top speed of 82mph; and brought you from Buffalo to New York City in 7 hours in regularly scheduled express passenger service -- faster than car, and far faster than today's Amtrak train. Nearly HSR the 19th century!