I'll post many thoughts in one post rather than smaller thoughts in many posts.
Originally Posted by drum118 View Post
That $80 Billion is up to $100B today. This would give us 130km of subway expansion, EMU service of 15 minute on all rail lines in the GTA, 500km of LRT, 200km of BRT, service on must bus routes under 15 minutes. Preferable to be 5 minutes or less on heavy travel routes
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At first glance, this seems like extreme overkill - if every major/concession road in the city is upgraded to subways and streetcars, the only bus routes left in the city will be ones like Silver Hills - but maybe it's not overkill. If the Avenues plan takes off, and if the population keeps growing, and if downtown stays at least moderately healthy, and if gas/car costs explode, etc., Toronto is definitely the kind of city where all of these lines would be well-used. As others have said, nowhere else in the world is there such a gap between the willingness of Torontonians to take transit and the amount of investment in the system. Plans as massive as yours are not needed now, but if we don't start building parts of it now, we'll be screwed in 50 or 80 years.
My figure is not only for 416, but also for 905, 519 as well other parts of Ontario. Need high speed rail to Niagara Fall, Windsors, Kingston and Ottawa. Rail corridors will have to be upgrade to allow 2 rails lines separate from CN/CP/VIA for GO/Metrolinx service. There are other location outside of 416 that will required LRT, BRT and subway that would be connecting to 416 let alone other cities.
I see a number of new subway lines for 416 that goes against TTC thinking as well for LRT's lines. There also extension to existing ones and each ends of them will end up in 905.
We need to start now to think big with a vision to the future that may not happen in our life time, otherwise we will be choking ourselves to death. Doing what I see will be a huge investment in our trade sector as well an employment generator for the next 20 years plus.
Oil is going to get short in demand in the coming years to the point it to raise to the $150-$200 mark by 2010 as noted back in the late 80's.
I see a subway on Queen looping up Victoria/Woodbine to Elgin Mills in the 905 for the east and looping up Jane St to Elgin Mills in the west for 905.
Eglinton line goes from Pickering to Sq One in Mississauga by the Airport.
The BD will end up At Sq One to the West and to Markham Rd or (?) and Elgin Mills.
The Sheppard Line will run from the Airport to Pickering.
The Yonge line goes north to Elgin Mills.
The Spadina line will connect with the Jane line north.
There is a X lines running from the 4 corners of the city.
Steele. Finch, Dufferin, Queensway, St Clair, Kennedy, Keele, Islington, Lawrence just to name a few streets would have LRT's 100%. When I looked at LRT's for 416 a few years ago, I saw $7 billion needed to build this LRT network just for 416 let along going out into the 905. Added in the cost of new carhouses and LRT's to that figure. I said TTC would need 700 LRT's system wide and 5 carhouses and that about $5 billion.
Between LRT's and Subways, I was looking at close to $30-$40b. Start adding in GO upgrade to more tracks, equipment, service, more service for all transit systems as well equipment, it was getting up there.
I asked last summer for $2.5B as an extension to Move2020 just to added more service and buses to the existing fleet's of ALL systems in the GTAH area as well operating cost for this extra service to help to meet today needs let alone the next few years.
You add this to that figure and it gets up there.
I don't see 416 not been part of the big picture as it will play a huge roll how transit will work for EveryOne, not just the 416.
Converting GO to EMU service will not happen overnight and will take years to convert the system 100%. Line by line will have to be done with both CN/CP getting on board to allow this. The overhead will have to be high enough to allow for over height cars that roam the systems today.