MuzikMachine
New Member
I feel that one might not be directly correlated with the other. For example, if the City of Calgary took a hardline, no greenfield development approach, that doesn't mean that it wouldn't happen anyways. There might be some more inner-city, higher density development, but you would also see increased growth in communities outside Calgary. I remember before the 2014/15 oil crash, there were separate items on the news about how Crossfield approved a plan for growth up to 25,000 and there might be a community of 10,000 built in the Katheryn-Kemona area - had those gone through what would that have done to urban sprawl? There still exists the market demand for a segment of the population to own a single family house.Has there been any measured improvement on the Crowchild after those upgrades were completed? I drive over that bridge almost everyday and I don't notice much of a change.
One of the main problems with growing road capacity, is that it just shifts bottlenecks rather than removing them. Yes, people will be able to move *around* the city more quickly on the new ring road, but eventually they're going to want to get *into* the city. Once that happens, they'll get dumped onto the same old road network with the same capacity as before.
In terms of adding more traffic, the ring road will just speed up the rate of sprawl. It will pull investment toward previously inaccessible greenfields, which are cheaper to develop. Soon the newest, most attractive shopping centers and amenities will require longer drives to get to. The construction of fancy new YMCAs on the far outskirts of the city, combined with the closure of the downtown YMCA, is a perfect example of how more traffic is going to be generated.
I also use the Lower Mainland as an example of the limitations of the theory of induced demand. Vancouver is praised for its high density urban design, yet there is still continuous development (sprawl) as far east as Langley, with places like Abbotsford and Chilliwack continuing to grow. For years, TCH 1 was not expanded in part for concerns of induced demand, yet they finally had to expand it because growth and traffic demands made it necessary. One used to be able to travel from Abbotsford to Langley at 100 km/h, but now it's stop & go traffic, not because of induced demand but because of overall population growth.
Finally, in regards to the YMCA, I don't think that most users would be going downtown had those two not existed. Also, both are quite far from Stoney Trail; it's not that some users wouldn't take Stoney Trail, but I think most users would be already living in that general area.