daptive
Active Member
Never noticed the two old hand painted billboards on the Storey’s building north of the site.
There must be a second tower. Not that I trust Toronto & the powers that be, but I do trust Frank Gehry Inc. w their drive & iconic vision.And so it begins! Here's hoping the second tower also gets built, but even if it doesn't, in terms of design excellence, Forma will be the benchmark against which all others will be measured for the foreseeable future!
Not sure you understand how condos are built... Frank Gehry & his company do not have the ability to just build a condo without financing - and in Canada you need to sell 70% of the units during the preconstruction phase before financing can even obtained. And with new condo sales down 80% YoY that's going to be difficult.There must be a second tower. Not that I trust Toronto & the powers that be, but I do trust Frank Gehry Inc. w their drive & iconic vision.
I was definitely being more an optimist. So save the condo development & financing lesson-I’m well aware. And I strongly believe both Gehry towers will be built in his hometown. The nostalgia legacy thing is real; Lotta smart wealthy people appreciate iconic architects- 50% of the suites sold quickly in first 6 week period. Just getting the first tower above ground now is both brilliant & honestly surprising.Not sure you understand how condos are built... Frank Gehry & his company do not have the ability to just build a condo without financing - and in Canada you need to sell 70% of the units during the preconstruction phase before financing can even obtained. And with new condo sales down 80% YoY that's going to be difficult.
Not sure you understand how condos are built... Frank Gehry & his company do not have the ability to just build a condo without financing - and in Canada you need to sell 70% of the units during the preconstruction phase before financing can even obtained. And with new condo sales down 80% YoY that's going to be difficult.
I hope so - and I think you're probably right.One thing about real estate, it never stays the same. With interest rates dropping, financing will become more affordable which will impact condo sales in 2025/2026 likely in a positive way. This is an iconic project from an iconic artist. My bet is that the second tower WILL be built. It might just be delayed a couple years compared to the original timeline.
The second tower will not be on sale anytime soon, there is no appetite for the next few years at the least. Who in their right mind will pay $2K = 1 Mil + for a 1 bedroom 500 sqf + closing fees. Frank Gehry has 0 power in this.I hope so - and I think you're probably right.
But my point is that Frank Gehry and Co have no power to push it to happen on their own. It's not a question of "drive & iconic vision" as the original comment said - it's a question of market dynamics.
When real estate bros w blinders on enter the chat. Other big factors are at play w this huge development. Yes, market dynamics (of course) + iconic vision of a legendary hometown architect-there’s a lot of pull in that. And sales have been surprisingly impressive w Forma. So?The second tower will not be on sale anytime soon, there is no appetite for the next few years at the least. Who in their right mind will pay $2K = 1 Mil + for a 1 bedroom 500 sqf + closing fees. Frank Gehry has 0 power in this.
Very nice of you to refer to us as "real estate bros w blinders".When real estate bros w blinders on enter the chat. Other big factors are at play w this huge development. Yes, market dynamics (of course) + iconic vision of a legendary hometown architect-there’s a lot of pull in that. And sales have been surprisingly impressive w Forma. So?
Wealthy big city Toronto will always be fine & should be very healthy by the time the 1st tower is built, w market forces/ supply & demand. Getting that 1st tower going was the hardest part. We’ll just have to check back in 6-8 yrs to see who had a better understanding of it all.
You do realize a lot of these projects will be pushed to following years? so until end of a decade we will see above average rate of completion compared to the 2014-2023 period. If they are smart, they won't even put Forma onto the market until at least 2028 if not later.2nd Forma Tower will get built. Sales process will likely be around 2026-2027.
New completions of Condos fall to almost nothing in 2028. All this excess supply right now peaks 2025, while rates are falling fast. The supply/demand imbalance will flip by the end of next year or early 2026 into a seller's market, especially on Condos people want to actually live in, not buy to rent.
The Condos that are completing do not satisfy the needs of higher net worth individuals (yes, the demand is still there). The first tower sold quicker and at higher prices than originally projected.
Dream Impact (MPCT-UN.TO), which owns part of this development, added recently in their projections occupancy of the 2nd tower is 2032, meaning there are plans happening to start the sales process of the 2nd tower. You can find this in their Financials.
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