This stuff is honestly so easy to find...the TTC even has a Yonge extension webpage.
Richmond Hill: 113,000
Langstaff: 13,700
Royal Orchard: 6,800
Clark: 8,100
Steeles: 23,900
Cummer: 9,200
The peak hour volume is 14,000 per hour crossing Steeles. The total daily ridership is 175,000, which compares to the 43,000 people who currently ride the Sheppard subway.
In which year for Yonge St??.
Today ridership on VIVA Blue is 15,351 daily.
VIVA runs 6 60' buses from Finch at Peak Time. Using 75 riders per bus, you are moving 450 riders. Using a 3% growth rate up to 2018, you will be moving 650 riders. 75 is peak ridership number for 60' buses. This means that all buses going north of Steeles will be going into crush load factor to RHC.
If we look at Crush load 90 riders from Finch, class 7, you are moving 540 today and 746 in 2018. Where are you going to put the extra riders north of Steeles on those Crush 7 buses??
If we move to 5% per year, you will be moving 1,466 to 1,759 riders from Finch by 2018.
Ridership is well below a subway requirement and still in the range of BRT let alone LRT.
By 2018 using 3% growth for Blue, daily ridership will be 20,630. Using 5%, ridership will be 25,005. Using 10% increase yearly, ridership will be 39,817 daily.
If we look at 2031 numbers, 3% increase yearly will see 36,231 riders daily, 5% would see 56,387 riders. 10% yearly increase would see 137,457 riders daily.
For peak time, we would see 888 using 75 riders per bus. Crush load 7, 90 riders per bus would be 1,060 riders for 3%.
5% would see 2,764 for 75/bus and 3,317 for 90/bus. Still well below subway standards and in the range of LRT.
Using 10% yearly, we would see 5,529 riders using 75/bus or 24 buses/hr. Using crush load 90/hr you would be moving 6,636 riders. Still in range of LRT and still under subway.
To get to the 10% range, you need 60,000 new residents or 25,000 units built along or next to Yonge St over the next 22 years.
Keep in mind, you will be moving 2,000 parking lots space to Langstaff/Longbridge from Finch come 2018.
The earliest I can see a subway to RHC is 2040.
If we look at Mississauga Hurontario St Route 19 today, it carries 25,676 daily using 40' buses. It see close to 800 riders at peak time. Using 3% over the same time frame as Yonge, ridership will be 1,107, 5% would see 1,368 and 10% would be 2,282 at peak time come 2018. Come 2031, ridership would be 1,626 for 3%, 2,580 for 5% and 7,880 for 10%.
Daily ridership would be 52,192 for 3%, 82,808 for 5% and 252,909 for 10% come 2031.
I know of 3 development along Hurontario that will add 5,000 new riders over the next 15 years. I am not factoring in the Sq One Development.
Mississauga is talking LRT well Metrolinx is talking BRT because of Brampton. No Brampton ridership included in the numbers for Hurontario service by BT.
At the end of the day, Mississauga should get a subway before York on numbers alone.
I have $2.4B, where and how do I spend that money????
Simple answers is using it to build LRT lines. That about 100km vs 6.2km of subway. Keep in mind there still an extra of $400m to $1.5B to build a yard for this extension. $400m is a saw off going with an LRT carhouse vs. subway yard, but anymore, less expansion GTAH.
Why should 6,000 riders get premium service, while over 200,000 will not because of this extension??