I'll just do one long post...this week's dose of common sense.
Re: extending the subway just to Victoria Park – people should know that bad traffic on Sheppard, on average, doesn't really extend past Warden. The actual gridlock is really only in zones east of Bayview and west of Victoria Park. Assuming a bus terminal at Victoria Park had good access to eastbound Sheppard (and the left turn from Fairview onto Sheppard is an example of bad access), the time saved along Sheppard with just a two-stop extension would be at least 2-3 minutes, probably 5-6 minutes, and, occasionally, 10+ minutes.
Between Victoria Park and Kennedy, what slows the 190 down (and, to a lesser extent, the 85) is not traffic but turnover...people fishing for student i.d., asking for transfers, etc. These are cheaply fixed, but getting the city and the TTC to do this stuff is like asking a cat to fetch something. Extending the subway is a better use of resources than building the LRT, but it can be done in 20, 30, 50 years. There's no rush and no desperate need to extend it now. Everyone truly familiar with the state of transit across Toronto knows that it should not be at the top of the priority list, which only makes the LRT an even greater waste. It is a bit baffling that people are going to the mat for Sheppard subway extensions instead of focusing on subway projects like the DRL, or the Yonge extension, or Danforth to STC, all of which are more important and less doomed.
Agreed. I don't expect LRT or subway to be that much different in the case of transforming Sheppard for better or worse. I was just disputing the rubbish LAz was spewing.
You might be right, I don't know enough about the travel patterns here to say.
LAz is, in fact, about 50% correct. Subways do get people out of cars and they do promote walking, not just through the sheer numbers of higher ridership, but by concentrating people flows towards generally wider-spaced stations. What he – and everyone else – is wrong about is the supposed link between urban form, transit mode, and local vitality...there is none.
You're not any less familiar with the travel patterns in a place like Scarborough than Miller & Co. Keithz isn't correct about the 139, either, though he is right that the Sheppard LRT will have no effect on people beyond a few hundred metres of Sheppard. The 139 is actually very lightly used and once you subtract the riders that use it as a local bus on Finch East, and then subtract the riders that are using it to go directly to Fairview Mall or the other bus connections at Fairview, you're left with only a small number of people actually using it to get to the Yonge line via the stubway. It only runs in the rush hour because taking the regular 39 to Yonge off-peak is much faster than taking the 139 to Sheppard to Yonge. During rush hour, the two routes are closer in speed, but going through Finch station is easier, with one less transfer and a better shot at a subway seat.
Finch East is one of those routes that is a net 'importer' of bus transfers (more transfer to the 39 from other routes than from the 39 to other routes) because of its speed and frequency, but none of these N/S bus riders will switch to the Sheppard LRT instead of Finch. There's zero time to be gained since the 39 is fast, since the LRT won't be a time improvement over the 85/190, and since the stubway doesn't run frequently enough (despite some genuine overcrowding in rush hour, it sits for minutes at the terminals). These N/S bus riders would start to switch to an extended Sheppard subway, especially if extended westward to give easier access to York U, Yorkdale, U of T, the hospitals, etc. Riders vote with their feet and travel time will always be the number one issue.
Leslie isn't even underground.
Anyone who's ever used Leslie - or even driven past - knows that the station is underground (and overbuilt, both quite needlessly). Some components are above ground, though, like the street exits and the light wells, because people and light can't pass through soil and concrete.
What I don't understand is why these people always have to look at the negative side of transit if it's NOT subway? There are positives that will come out of this such as the start of a better community bonding scenario. I never thought about this before, but look at how strong the communites along Queen West and Queen East are? The same will happen with Sheppard East over time.... Maybe not in our lifetimes, but eventually it will.
If people along Sheppard are forced to wait for transit vehicles for as long as people along Queen, they might bond more, too. They'd have a burden to share and something to talk about, at least. Communities along Queen are much older and more homogenous than spots along Sheppard, which does infinitely more for those communities than transit.
I suspect it has a lot more to do with not bothering to pay attention until construction starts, and then complaining that you weren't consulted. Sigh.
Many people still don't know what's going on even when they see construction. Just because you're an avid transit geek who searches for and analyzes obscure government documents doesn't mean everyone else should have to do the same for their opinion to matter. If anything, the public is less biased than transit geeks, concerned mostly with actual travel times and riding conditions, and not concerned with mode ideology or pretty lines on a transit map or a host of technical red herrings. The real public doesn't show up to public meetings in numbers, though, if they've even heard about the meetings in the first place, so 'the public' seems to be composed entirely of people concerned with property values and electromagnetic radiation.
Save Our Sheppard may have details wrong and isn't arguing well, but their point still stands...essentially zero drivers will get out of their cars for an LRT line along Sheppard. The city treats a mode shift that would double or triple "demand" as a base assumption but real people know that this is ludicrous and should not determine what gets done to roads and transit. There's no more demand for the Sheppard LRT than there is for the Sheppard bus now, let alone Sheppard with an 85E branch or with POP, especially since losing the 190 and forcing other bus routes to run outside and alongside the ROW could kill some of the corridor's ridership. It's been 'too late' for the Sheppard LRT for 3 years now, but it's not too late for other projects/corridors, though if transit plans continue to change out of the blue and be based on ideology and social engineering instead of real conditions and real transit needs, it won't matter.