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Sorry I'm just going by the assumptions which Metrolinx uses, and that is that more people are attracted to a subway vs LRT, more people are attracted to an LRT versus BRT, and more people are attracted to BRT over a plain vanilla bus.

In you previous statements you seem to have ignored the part where "more people are attracted to LRT versus...a plain vanilla bus" and focussed on the "more people are attracted to a subway vs LRT". The SELRT would serve anyone who opted not to take that bus route, and there are a ton of choice riders who will not step foot on a bus.
 

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