I think we've been down the 'passenger trains to everywhere' discussion before. 'Potential ridership' needs to have some kind of analysis of travel demographics, beyond simple population; i.e. how many people do/would/need to travel between 'there' and 'here' - by train. Business travellers will likely fly, so you're down to residents. It may come as a surprise to many people but people outside of the GTA live complete and fulfilling lives without the need to go there. As mentioned, there are many who are unconvinced the even the reconstituted Northlander will be viable.
You might be right, a SSM-Sudbury-Toronto train might be popular. I'm not convinced.
Take a look at the traffic data on 11 from Timmins to Washago. Now look at 17 from SSM to Sudbury and 69/400 to Parry Sound
Caution, long post..
11
.27,900 is the highest,
2500 is the lowest, between the Tri towns and Kir
11SIMCOE RD 169 IC 152 GRAVENHURST S LTS‐SEVERN R BR 2.4 24,300
11 GRAVENHURST S LTS‐SEVERN R BR N JCT MUSKOKA RD 169 (BETHUNE DR) 15.8 24,300
11 N JCT MUSKOKA RD 169 (BETHUNE DR) MUSKOKA RD 41/6 IC 5.0 17,200
11 MUSKOKA RD 41/6 IC HWY 118 (E) ‐ MUSKOKA RD 118 IC 182 6.8 25,400
11 HWY 118 (E) ‐ MUSKOKA RD 118 IC 182 MUSKOKA RD 37‐CEDAR LANE (W) FREDRICK ST (E) 1.9 18,600
11 MUSKOKA RD 37‐CEDAR LANE (W) FREDRICK ST (E) TAYLOR RD IC‐MUSKOKA RD 42 4.7 14,800
11 TAYLOR RD IC‐MUSKOKA RD 42 MUSKOKA RD 117 IC (E) CEDAR LANE (W) 3.9 21,000
11 MUSKOKA RD 117 IC (E) CEDAR LANE (W) HWY 141 IC(W) MUSKOKA RD 10‐PORT SIDNEY RD(E) 14.3 17,400
11 HWY 141 IC(W) MUSKOKA RD 10‐PORT SIDNEY RD(E) S JCT MUSKOKA RD 3 IC 12.5 19,700
11 S JCT MUSKOKA RD 3 IC MUSKOKA RD 2 IC 2.3 18,200
11 MUSKOKA RD 2 IC HWY 60‐IC‐HUNTSVILLE 1.7 11,000
11 HWY 60‐IC‐HUNTSVILLE N JCT MUSKOKA RD 3 IC 3.2 14,700
11 N JCT MUSKOKA RD 3 IC NORTH WASEOSA LK RD (W)/ROCKHAVEN RD(E) IC UP 4.8 14,900
11 NORTH WASEOSA LK RD (W)/ROCKHAVEN RD(E) IC UP S JCT SEC HWY 592(E)/NOVAR RD(W) IC UP 3.9 15,800
11 S JCT SEC HWY 592(E)/NOVAR RD(W) IC UP FERN GLEN RD(W) ‐ SCOTIA RD(E) 8.9 10,200
11 FERN GLEN RD(W) ‐ SCOTIA RD(E) SEC HWY 518 ‐ DEER LK RD(E) IC 4.2 10,000
11 SEC HWY 518 ‐ DEER LK RD(E) IC N JCT SUNSET PASS DR/SEC HWY592(E)GRAVEL RD(W 1.7 8,750
11 N JCT SUNSET PASS DR/SEC HWY592(E)GRAVEL RD(W KATRINE RD (HWY 7188) OP 2.8 9,550
11 KATRINE RD (HWY 7188) OP SEC HWY 520‐FERGUSON RD (W) 4.5 8,300
11 SEC HWY 520‐FERGUSON RD (W) ONTARIO ST(7162)ARMOUR TWP (E) 3.4 4,850
11 ONTARIO ST(7162)ARMOUR TWP (E) HWY 124 IC 276 UP 15.9 8,050
11 HWY 124 IC 276 UP BOUNDARY/MOUNTAINVIEW RD IC 282 6.8 7,600
11 BOUNDARY/MOUNTAINVIEW RD IC 282 HWY 124 / HWY 11 NORTH IC 5.5 7,450
11 HWY 124 / HWY 11 NORTH IC GOREVILLE RD/SUMMIT RD LAURIER TWP IC 5.0 9,100
11 GOREVILLE RD/SUMMIT RD LAURIER TWP IC GOREVILLE RD/SUMMIT RD LAURIER TWP IC 7.4 7,200
11 GOREVILLE RD/SUMMIT RD LAURIER TWP IC HWY 522/MCFADDEN LINE IC 7.4 7,200
11 HWY 522/MCFADDEN LINE IC HWY 522/MCFADDEN LINE IC 2.4 7,050
11 HWY 522/MCFADDEN LINE IC SEC HWY 522 2.4 7,050
11 SEC HWY 522 MCGILLVRAY CK (NB & SB) 10.8 8,900
11 MCGILLVRAY CK (NB & SB) SEC HWY 534(W)CLARK ST(E) IC UP 1.9 8,400
11 SEC HWY 534(W)CLARK ST(E) IC UP MCCHARLES LINE ‐ MAIN ST 2.5 8,650
11 MCCHARLES LINE ‐ MAIN ST SEC HWY 654 IC(W)LK NOSBONSING RD(E) 10.5 9,750
11 SEC HWY 654 IC(W)LK NOSBONSING RD(E) HWY 11B(LAKESHORE DR)IC(W)DUPONT RD(E) 9.1 11,600
11 HWY 11B(LAKESHORE DR)IC(W)DUPONT RD(E) S JCT HWY 17‐IC 5.7 19,800
11 S JCT HWY 17‐IC SEYMOUR ST 0.5 26,500
11 SEYMOUR ST HWY 17B(FISHER ST)W‐NORTHGATE SQ ENT(E) 0.5 26,800
11 HWY 17B(FISHER ST)W‐NORTHGATE SQ ENT(E) HWY 63(TROUT LK RD)E‐CASSELLS ST(W) 0.6 23,700
11 HWY 63(TROUT LK RD)E‐CASSELLS ST(W) O'BRIEN ST 1.5 27,200
11 O'BRIEN ST N JCT HWYS 17/11B(ALGONQUIN AV) 0.6 21,300
11 N JCT HWYS 17/11B(ALGONQUIN AV) SHERRIFF AV(E) 0.2 27,900
11 SHERRIFF AV(E) AIRPORT RD(E) MCKEOWN AV(W) 0.1 22,300
11 AIRPORT RD(E) MCKEOWN AV(W) CEDAR HEIGHTS RD 1.5 8,000
11 CEDAR HEIGHTS RD COOK'S MILL RD(W)ROY DR(E) 6.4 7,300
11 COOK'S MILL RD(W)ROY DR(E) PARKWOOD VILLA ENT(W) 3.1 3,850
11 PARKWOOD VILLA ENT(W) HWY 64(W) 45.4 3,500
11 HWY 64(W) LAKESHORE DR (W) 38.6 3,400
11 LAKESHORE DR (W) LATCHFORD S LTS 32.4 4,500
11 LATCHFORD S LTS S JCT HWY 11B(E) 8.4 5,750
11 S JCT HWY 11B(E) SEC HWY 558 9.5 6,200
11 SEC HWY 558 S JCT HWY 65 IC ‐ WHITEWOOD AVE(E) 6.7 4,950
11 S JCT HWY 65 IC ‐ WHITEWOOD AVE(E) N JCT HWY 65 AND HWY 11 2.7 8,500
11 N JCT HWY 65 AND HWY 11 ROLAND RD(E) 1.1 14,900
11 ROLAND RD(E) S JCT SEC HWY 569(N)HILLIARDTOWN RD(E) 10.5 7,150
11 S JCT SEC HWY 569(N)HILLIARDTOWN RD(E) SEC HWY 562(W)GRAVEL RD(E) 6.0 7,000
11 SEC HWY 562(W)GRAVEL RD(E) SEC HWY 571(W) 8.9 5,250
11 SEC HWY 571(W) N JCT SEC HWY 569(E)(TO SEC HWY 624) 8.7 4,900
11 N JCT SEC HWY 569(E)(TO SEC HWY 624) SEC HWY 560(W)9TH ST(E) 6.2 5,700
11 SEC HWY 560(W)9TH ST(E) HWY 112(E) 18.6 4,450
11 HWY 112(E) HWY 66 19.0 2,500
11 HWY 66 SEC HWY 568(E) 1.0 4,350
11 SEC HWY 568(E) SEC HWY 570(E) 13.9 4,200
11 SEC HWY 570(E) TIMISKAMING‐COCHRANE DIST BDY 7.4 3,000
11 TIMISKAMING‐COCHRANE DIST BDY SEC HWY 572(E) 20.2 3,400
11 SEC HWY 572(E) E JCT HWY 101‐4TH AV 14.5 3,250
11 E JCT HWY 101‐4TH AV W JCT HWY 101(W) 6.4 4,800
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