Andrew Cash, Craig Scott and Peggy Nash only lost by about 1,000 votes each. I would have liked a few local NDP MPs to have won to hold the Liberals to account on urban issues.
Andrew Cash did surprisingly well, given the overall NDP fortunes last night and the fact that Davenport is a traditional Liberal riding (since the 1960s!). The fact that the Liberals were kept to a margin of victory of 1435 votes is a testament to Cash's performance as MP.
Parkdale-High Park has traditionally alternated between the NDP and Liberals, with the winning candidate often propelled by the strength or weakness of the national parties in any given election. Last night, the close race was pretty typical for that riding, and evokes the close finishes between Nash and Sarmite Bulte, and even Peggy Nash and Gerrard Kennedy (although the margin was tighter last night). In that riding, the more things change, the more they remain the same.
I don't know if the close races in Davenport and Parkdale High-Park mean that there is a long-term trend whereby the demographics in both ridings are leaning more towards the NDP (more so in Davenport), or merely that the NDP had two popular MPs whose personal popularity perhaps eclipsed the performance of their own party in this election cycle.
As for Craig Scott, to say that he "only lost" Toronto-Danforth by 1270 votes is hardly a positive statement for the NDP. Toronto-Danforth is Jack Layton's old riding, the riding where the NDP first tried door-to-door canvassing and get-out-the-vote tactics in the 1960s, and the one riding they were supposed to be able to hold no matter how disastrous a night they had in the rest of downtown Toronto. Losing by just 1270 votes is a tremendous loss for the NDP, and harkens back to the bad old days of the 1994 election. While there might be some reason for long-term optimism in Davenport and Parkdale-High Park, there is no silver lining for the NDP in Toronto-Danforth. Losing something you were never supposed to lose, but by a close margin, is no consolation. Also, Julie Dabrusin is a good candidate, well known in Riverdale, and might end up becoming a popular MP.
Turns out Toronto Centre, Spadina-Fort York and University-Spadina were not close at all.