Alberta is booming, and Calgary is one of the fastest growing cities in North America, never mind Canada! This will definately effect Toronto, both good and bad. Stronger, Canadian, east/west links can only be a good thing as they help make Toronto and the country as a whole less dependent on the U.S., and there is definately room in Canada for a prosperous prairie city. That said, it is obvious that Toronto will lose corporate market share to a growing west, it has already been losing this to Vancouver (Toronto has also already been losing this to its own suburbs!) Alberta will also become more of a draw for Canadians and new immigrants seeking jobs, lower taxes and entrepreneurial opportunities as the energy boom spins off into other secters - I recently heard a statistic (sorry, can't remember where but I think it was the CBC) that says that some 30,000 Ontarians migrated to Calgary in the past year alone! Already there is a huge demand there for construction, the trades and other service industries. A cultural explosion can't be too far behind either, especially when you see tiny towns like Medecine Hat building shiny new arts facilities that would be the envy of far larger eastern cities...
So the question remains, can Toronto hold onto its position as economic engine of the country? The defeatist response is "not likely", if it continues on the way it has. Toronto has been hit hard over the past few years, as has been discussed ad nauseum here and elsewhere, and other North American markets that had already seen their power bases dwindle have been reinventing and responding competitively for a number of years now already. This means that regardless of the fortunes of Calgary, Toronto will have to be aggressive to continue to attract business, tourism and the media. This means making investments now in public transit, the public realm, and in our city's assets such as the Waterfront. It means dusting ourselves off, rebranding our image, and selling ourselves to the world. It requires the type of energy, enthusiasm and civic pride that cities like Calgary have, and that Toronto itself once had in the 60s and 70s when it was the city that built NPS, First Canadian Place, the TD Centre, the CN Tower; and when it understood implicitly that it was the city of the future. It also requires vision, cooperation and commitment at City Hall and Queen's Park, and strong effective leadership that can take command of a morass of conflicting minority and interest groups, for the good of the city as a whole. Most of all, Toronto needs to understand, now more than ever, that its position of power is no longer a given, and that what may have worked in the past may not work in the future.