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If Toronto going to bid for Expo2015, then TTC and the city needs to get their act together now by buying new LRT's, getting the EA's done, but most of all building a new LRT station that will handle 25,000 riders per hour at Union Station.

TTC is going to need 80 LRT's just for Expo let alone the 34 it will need to service the new Waterfront LRT system before and after Expo2015.

You are looking at $400 million to build a new LRT station on top of the $100 million to expand Union Station Platform.

You are looking at over $300 million for track work for the waterfront. Then it will cost $280 million for the 80 LRT's.

That’s a cool $1.080 Billion for transit for this area and would be worth it.

Once Expo is over, the 80 LRT's should be assigned to new LRT lines to be built over the next 20 years.

This is on top of the cost to replace all 246 existing streetcar that is going to cost $861 million. There is a fight within TTC and the city on how to replace the existing fleet to the point the fleet. The current 196 CLRV's are due to be retired after 30 years in service starting in 2008-10. 58 ALVR's are due to retire in 2018.

Add this cost of $1.941 Billion on top of the $1.5 Billion for the Spadina subway expansion and $2 billion for the B-D extension to replace the SRT over the next 10 years. That is $5.41Billion. Then add on the cost of the New Subway trains for another $1.5 Billion and $600 million for new buses for a total of $7.4 Billion. This means the city must come up with $740 million per year for capital cost.

TTC is lucky to see $200 million a year and what going to happen to other capital cost to keep TTC a float?

There is over $1 Billion of new LRT lines to be built as well replacing exist streetcar tracks within the city now that has to come into play as well upgrading the existing stations.

I told the government a year ago it needed to write a check for $3.5 Billion per year for the next 20 years to support transit in the GTA with TTC seeing 55% of it.
 
From the Star:

Council to debate Expo bid today
$700M debt projected

James Cowan, National Post
Published: Tuesday, May 16, 2006

City councillors could today endorse Toronto's bid for the 2015 World Expo despite evidence it will leave behind a $700-million deficit.

Politicians will consider the merits of hosting a World's Fair this morning at a joint meeting of the city's policy and finance committee and its economic development and parks committee. The bid has been endorsed by a committee formed last year to study its benefits.

The committee's chairman said Toronto is already considered a front-runner in the race among the international community to host the event.

"They know Toronto has the capacity; they know Toronto would put on a spectacular fair," Brian Ashton said.

A report prepared on behalf of bid organizers by PricewaterhouseCoopers suggests it will take $2.8-billion to stage the event, including the cost of building a fairground in the city's eastern port lands. However, ticket sales and other revenues are expected to only generate $2.1-billion.

The $700-million shortfall should be covered by the federal and provincial governments, according to Mr. Ashton.

"They benefit from this with tax dollars while Toronto benefits with legacy capital items," he said.

Estimates suggest the Expo would generate an additional $5.3-billion in sales and income tax revenues for the provincial and federal governments. Furthermore, the six-month fair is expected to create more than 215,000 jobs and generate $13.5-billion in economic activity across Canada. Within Toronto, the Expo is projected to create 143,000 jobs and pay $5.6-billion in wages and salaries.

Mayor David Miller told reporters he supports Toronto's bid.

"It's potentially a great thing for this city," Mr. Miller said. "And I believe it's really a Toronto thing. We've got the world here ... half the people in Toronto weren't born here. It's an incredible thing we've got here in Toronto, and it's time to bring the world here to see it."

Initial signs suggest the federal government will support the bid, Mr. Miller said.

"At the civil service level, they've been very, very supportive," he said. "They understand that World's Fairs have put Canada on the map in a very important way. We don't have a final commitment but the city has to make its decision first."

A spokesman for Bev Oda, the Canadian Heritage Minister, could not be reached.

If city council supports the bid, it will be given to the Department of Canadian Heritage for review. Ultimately, it is the decision of the federal Cabinet whether the bid will be submitted. Mr. Ashton said he hopes to convince Prime Minister Stephen Harper to present the bid himself during a meeting of the Bureau International des Expositions, the governing body for World's Fairs, in June.

"If he is willing to go, I would happily carry his bags," Mr. Ashton said.

Toronto has until Nov. 3 to submit a bid. The only city to formally submit a proposal so far is Izmir, Turkey.

Both the Mayor and Mr. Ashton said hosting an Expo would be an opportunity to jump-start waterfront development. A proposal for the proposed site in the eastern port lands calls for 162 hectares of parks and pavilions along with a "Plaza of Nations" large enough to accommodate 10,000 people.

AoD
 
Lottery to pay for Expo?
City faces $700M deficit
By ROB GRANATSTEIN, CITY HALL BUREAU

A lottery is one of many options Toronto's Expo 2015 organizers are looking at as they stare a $700-million deficit in the face.

"Why not?" said Brian Ashton, chairman of the Expo bid committee. "It creates a buzz and generates dollars. People love lotteries and knowing the money is going to a specific place."

The fair, its projected $700-million deficit and $5.3 billion in new tax revenue will be discussed today at the city's policy and finance committee. It's expected to breeze through with the support of Mayor David Miller.

"For every dollar we invest, we get $7.57 in new tax revenue," Ashton said. "That makes good business sense."

A report on who would pay for the deficit doesn't assign percentages to each level of government. But the report does say of the $5.3 billion, $2.7 billion would go to Ottawa and $2 billion to Queen's Park, so it makes sense for the cost-sharing to reflect those numbers, he said.

Council will be told in September the final details of the cost-sharing.

The Expo bid team is looking for another $550,000 each from the province and TEDCO, the city's land development arm, to continue forward with the bid. If that happens, another $1.95 million will be needed to take the bid through to decision day in February 2008.

Courtesy: Toronto Sun
 
Can the city really put a business case forward to go ahead with this bid which includes a projected $700M debt? I think Brian Ashton should get into stand up comedy with zingers like this...
"The $700-million shortfall should be covered by the federal and provincial governments"
:rollin :rollin

Council to debate Expo bid today
$700M debt projected


James Cowan
National Post
Tuesday, May 16, 2006

City councillors could today endorse Toronto's bid for the 2015 World Expo despite evidence it will leave behind a $700-million deficit.

Politicians will consider the merits of hosting a World's Fair this morning at a joint meeting of the city's policy and finance committee and its economic development and parks committee. The bid has been endorsed by a committee formed last year to study its benefits.

The committee's chairman said Toronto is already considered a front-runner in the race among the international community to host the event.

"They know Toronto has the capacity; they know Toronto would put on a spectacular fair," Brian Ashton said.

A report prepared on behalf of bid organizers by PricewaterhouseCoopers suggests it will take $2.8-billion to stage the event, including the cost of building a fairground in the city's eastern port lands. However, ticket sales and other revenues are expected to only generate $2.1-billion.

The $700-million shortfall should be covered by the federal and provincial governments, according to Mr. Ashton.

"They benefit from this with tax dollars while Toronto benefits with legacy capital items," he said.

Estimates suggest the Expo would generate an additional $5.3-billion in sales and income tax revenues for the provincial and federal governments. Furthermore, the six-month fair is expected to create more than 215,000 jobs and generate $13.5-billion in economic activity across Canada. Within Toronto, the Expo is projected to create 143,000 jobs and pay $5.6-billion in wages and salaries.

Mayor David Miller told reporters he supports Toronto's bid.

"It's potentially a great thing for this city," Mr. Miller said. "And I believe it's really a Toronto thing. We've got the world here ... half the people in Toronto weren't born here. It's an incredible thing we've got here in Toronto, and it's time to bring the world here to see it."

Initial signs suggest the federal government will support the bid, Mr. Miller said.

"At the civil service level, they've been very, very supportive," he said. "They understand that World's Fairs have put Canada on the map in a very important way. We don't have a final commitment but the city has to make its decision first."

A spokesman for Bev Oda, the Canadian Heritage Minister, could not be reached.

If city council supports the bid, it will be given to the Department of Canadian Heritage for review. Ultimately, it is the decision of the federal Cabinet whether the bid will be submitted. Mr. Ashton said he hopes to convince Prime Minister Stephen Harper to present the bid himself during a meeting of the Bureau International des Expositions, the governing body for World's Fairs, in June.

"If he is willing to go, I would happily carry his bags," Mr. Ashton said.

Toronto has until Nov. 3 to submit a bid. The only city to formally submit a proposal so far is Izmir, Turkey.

Both the Mayor and Mr. Ashton said hosting an Expo would be an opportunity to jump-start waterfront development. A proposal for the proposed site in the eastern port lands calls for 162 hectares of parks and pavilions along with a "Plaza of Nations" large enough to accommodate 10,000 people.

© National Post 2006
 
Taken from the report posted earlier:

Expomap.jpg


Port Lands Site Plan Legend

1. Main Gate (Gate 1): It is anticipated that a major influx of visitors would approach the site at this gate, which is close to the city centre. Under an expansive welcoming roof that stretches along Commissioners Street, the gate is designed to meet ticketing and security requirements for 1,000 guests per hour per turnstile.

2. Secondary Gate (Gate 2): Also located under the welcoming roof structure, this would be another popular access point to the site. There is a length of space for 16 coach buses or other mass transit vehicles to easily pull in and drop guests off between Gates One and Two. Both the Main and Secondary Gates are located across from Commissioners Park.

3. East Gate: Located near the Turning Basin, this gate would guide visitors into the far end of the site, permitting them to walk along the north side of the dockwall or to cross a new bridge to the south side.

4. Commissioners Park: This 17-hectare park that includes community sports fields, a TWRC-led project slated for completion prior to 2015, would offer a visual carpet of green immediately in front of the main gates.

5. Plaza of Nations: A large open space to support a gathering of over 10,000 people, this central space would be the cultural heart of Expo 2015. In order to capitalize on its welcoming feature inside a major arrival point and its proximity to the large water-based venue close by, the space would include a logical north–south pedestrian route into the site that has been enlarged to support peak crowd flow as a gathering and events space. Innovation would prevail as pedestrians could initiate ever-changing coloured light patterns under foot as they walk. Tall, tilted masts, fitted with solar disks, nod to the east, mimicking the angle of the adjacent Canada pavilion.

6. Canada Pavilion: The tallest and most prominent building on the lands, the Canada Pavilion’s iconic legacy architecture would draw inspiration from the past as its spirited sail (or teepee-like form) looks toward the Expo site on one side and opens up to the city on the other. A long, low base stretches west, ending in a specialized state-of-the-art Great Lakes Discovery Centre submerged into the lake. Sustainable in all respects, this pavilion has a life after Expo. During the Expo, this world-class pavilion would present a strong message of unity and harmony and would showcase our collective achievements as all the provinces and territories unite under one “roofscape†to present their distinctive attributes. The City of Toronto could play international host at Club 2015, located in the peak.

7. Great Lakes Discovery Centre: A special legacy tourist and local destination that would be located at the end of a quay as part of the Canada Pavilion during Expo.

8. Amphitheatre: A major covered performance venue for 5,000 people, strategically positioned on the water’s edge and facing the city skyline beyond. Intended for large performances, including fireworks and music, various stage configurations are envisioned in the water to meet a variety of functions. An enclosed electronic “billboard†could address both the Expo site and the city beyond.

9. Innovative Housing: A small percentage of staff working on the Expo site would come from abroad for the set-up, duration, and decommissioning of the site. While many of these employees may be billeted as part of a multicultural initiative, some would require housing either on or near the site. Affordable housing units already anticipated to be built north of the site in the West Don Lands and west of the site in East Bayfront may be available to coincide with the Expo period, but more are required. This need offers an opportunity to include a highly progressive demonstration housing project as part of the Expo programming. A dockside location, just outside the main gate, could allow this project to offer tours during the event.

10. International Business Centre: This facility, located near the main gate, would offer much-needed assistance, including conference facilities and technological support for visitors. Part of the mandate would be to provide special services for developing countries. The location is strategic, since post- Expo the building is envisioned to be an Imagination Centre for Creative Cities, accessed directly from Commissioners Street when the gates are removed.

11. Theme Pavilion: As part of an exposition, the host country generally creates several pavilions that represent it in form and content, one of the sub-themes of the current Expo. A placeholder has been positioned along Commissioners Street in anticipation that it could become a community centre or other required facility post-Expo. Depending upon community need and theme requirements on the site, this location may be changed. Similarly, on the south side of the dockwall, near the Don Greenway and Lake Ontario Park, a theme pavilion is suggested and may become a school in the future.

12. Theme Pavilion: Similarly, a second theme pavilion, adjacent to #11, might become a library or serve a similar function post-Expo. Both structures could be accessed directly from the north side after the gates and the roof structure overhead are removed. It is possible that the expansive roof form may be considered a positive enduring element along the south edge of Commissioners Park, creating another legacy and informing the design of the
roofscape itself.

13. Performance Venue: An anchor position on the site at the east end of the Ship Channel, this venue would allow a spectacle of colour and form as swirling tent structures fly over part of the Turning Basin, a floating stage with cantilevered seating for 2,000 people.

14. Hearn: It is hoped that part of the structure could be adaptively re-used for various functions during the Expo, particularly restaurant, retail, or even some small pavilion displays. In any event, the character of the façade or building at large will add character and ambiance along the new promenade/dockwall.

15. Amusement Park: Considered a popular element of a fair, this festive park would offer an unusual experience as rides for both adults and children are located within a green labyrinth—a huge Ferris wheel and other interactive and passive events are being considered.

16. World Museum of Aboriginal Art: Hinting at a theme that may include “humanity†and its potential to create a participatory, connected world, this pavilion would be a legacy on the site. Positioned within view of the major
gate at the end of the Plaza of Nations, it would be clearly visible from many directions. Its location, fronting on Cherry Street, could be integrated in future development blocks.

17. Entertainment Venue: Strategically placed with views in all directions, this dining, cabaret, and café venue would look both inward to a courtyard ambiance and outward to the lake on a projecting patio.

18. Shipping Facility: The existing shipping facility would have access through the Expo site throughout the fair’s duration. Vessels traveling up the Ship Channel under full security during the Expo could add credibility to the historic industrial components of the Port Lands.

19. Lake Ontario Park – Cherry Beach: This is a new park legacy, which may be used in part as off-site breakout open space during the fair. Visitors would have the opportunity to share this valuable beach land. During the Expo, sculptures and water features may be introduced. Those wishing to visit Lake Ontario Park only will still have free access to the park via Unwin Avenue without having to go through the Expo site.

20. Parking Structure: Although this would be a transit-oriented Expo, there is a requirement for parking to satisfy special needs. Several options are being considered, all close to the fairgrounds but outside the gates. This location could be used for a multi-tier above-ground parking structure. In the lands just north of this parcel, there is an opportunity to create coach bus parking. There are further opportunities to accommodate parking for 150 buses on lands across Leslie Street on the Ashbridges Bay lands that are already being used for surface parking.

21. Parking: A possible alternate option for part of the parking requirement may be an on-grade, temporary greened parking lot north of Unwin Avenue near Leslie Street. This site will only be considered as a temporary solution if all the parking cannot be accommodated in the parking structure.

22. Cherry Street Bridge: A refurbished lift bridge would be required and would remain as a legacy. During Expo, the bridge may be embellished with lighting to reinforce the extension of the Plaza of Nations. Inventive forms and crosschannel lighting can achieve this illumination.

23. Don Roadway Bridge: This new lift bridge, providing critical pedestrian movement across the channel, would remain as part of the new neighbourhood development.

24. Bridge at Turning Basin: This required lift bridge would prove useful today and tomorrow. It is envisioned that the three bridges across the Channel may be designed as sculptural pieces in the Expo park. With innovative coordination, the artful handrail forms could be distinctive and provide overlapping perspectives from various vantage points on the site.

25. Cable Car Experience: Most Expos provide an overhead ride that allows visitors an orientation of the fair and an interesting method of transportation from one end to the other. Several stops are being considered, starting between the two main gates and with the cable extending out over the water. The cars could dramatically slow down to allow views in all directions - the islands, skyline, and lake with boats sailing beyond. The ride would continue around the Museum and travel until it reached the Turning Basin. Stops would often coincide with the bridges to make pedestrian connections obvious.

26. Human Kaleidoscope: Throughout the Expo, there would be opportunities to provide unexpected delights and experiences—both within pavilions and other venues and within the varied hard and soft landscapes. One such opportunity might be constructed on the long, low roof extending from the Canada pavilion. Connected by an accessible ramp, a colourful, highly graphic walking surface would be punctuated by giant rows of mirrored spherical, hovering “trees.†Reflections of many colours underfoot contrasted with those of the water, city, and people would challenge visitors’ perceptions of space and form. Participants could walk between and around the spheres, which would seem to disappear in favour of the reflections. Night lighting would add another dimension.

27. Dockwall: One of the most appreciated legacies of this fair may become the revitalization and humanization of the Port Land’s dockwall experience. Over 7,000 linear metres of dockwall could be designed as a pedestrian edge along the Channel and the outer quays, as shown. An ambiance learned from ourexperience with the Toronto Harbourfront, and from Amsterdam and Paris with their multi-leveled docks, would create an organizing element for the Expo and a legacy for all time.

28. Lake Ontario Parkside Drive – Unwin: This drive, slightly reconfigured to create a winding route, is contemplated as a treed boulevard park drive from Leslie Street into Lake Ontario Park and then west toward Cherry Street. This infrastructure would enhance the Expo grounds and, again, provide a legacy for the park.

29. Theatre: Situated along the dockwall in a vibrant café, dining, and cabaret zone just south of the Film Port District, this 500-seat theatre would offer special performances throughout the Toronto 2015 World Expo including live theatre or movie premieres and provide a much-needed venue post-Expo.

30. Electronic Totem Poles: As the host country, Canada has an opportunity to showcase its past while inspiring its future. Throughout the fairgrounds, presentations, performances, and specially-created environments can challenge expectations and create delight. One such manifestation of this approach could be the very tall and slim structures shown punctuating the dockwall. They would call to mind Native Canadians’ meaningful and colourful
totem poles, which remain memorable artifacts in Canada to this day. These “interventions†have many purposes, from way-finding and general information kiosks to magical light sources along the walkway that beam across the channel, But most of all, they would be defining urban elements of electronic art.

31. Pontoons: Designed as one- or two-storey forms, floating water pavilions (pontoon forms) could respond to the need for cross-channel connections at any point along the way, shifting dockside to permit vessel passage. Among other possible presentation uses, each pontoon could serve as an interactive bridge with strategically incorporated performance venues, such as a stage for cabarets and bands or as an interesting dining venue.

AoD
 
A few comments on the site plan (even though I know it's far from finalized)

- I like the compactness of the buildings on the site. The layout of the site should provide a human scale and more urban atmosphere for the Expo than many fairs in the past which emphasize megastructures and wide open spaces. If the legacy of the Expo is to provide a good waterfront community, this layout may be a good start.

- Speaking of legacies, I am somewhat concerned about the legacy that the Expo buildings themselves provide. Reading the program for the buildings I see that aside from the Great Lakes Discovery Centre and the "Imagination Centre for Creative Cities", we have legacies like a school, community centre and library. Unless we expect each participating nation to design a pavilion that can be turned into a mixed use (residential/retail) building in the future, where will the elements of a future waterfront community be found?

(By the way, an "Imagination Centre for Creative Cities" seems to me to have less tourist appeal than the Olympic Spirit Centre.)

- I am much more concerned about the connectivity between the Portlands site and the rest of the city. There appears to be poor connection between the Portlands site and Downtown/East Bayfront/West Don Lands (shown on plan). I know we have proposals for a subway or LRT to the site, but what will a pedestrian from downtown or a rider on the LRT see on his/her way to Expo. Chances are they will see the Gardiner/DVP interchange still standing, and the eastern part of the railway lands. Unless the patch of land south of the Gardiner and west of Cherry gets developed, that will become another eyesore for visitors. I think the Expo should extend north of the mouth of the Don into East Bayfront and West Don Lands (the entrance to the fair won't be moved... the part of Expo north of the Don would be free to all visitors and serve to "introduce" the fair before the visitors actually pay to get in) . Perhaps there should also be an Expo-themed street route that visitors can take from Downtown to the Portlands.

There should also be some connection from the Expo to Riverdale, through what I assume is the Film Studio district and across Lakeshore Blvd. That area needs revitalization and Expo will help it, but only if the area is well connected to the Expo site.

I'm somewhat surprised that the Expo grounds do not connect to Cherry Beach. It's blocked off from the rest of the site by shipping facilities and parkland. I think shipping should be removed from the Portlands site- it impedes visitor traffic and poses a security threat. I would suggest that the amusement park (or "Midway") be moved from Hearn to connect Expo to Cherry Beach, creating a "Coney Island" kind of atmosphere.
 
Please, no, keep it out of Riverdale. Let Parkdale have some instead.
 
Fung mention in The Star today, it would cost about $750 million to tear down the Gardiner and Lake Shore Blvd. would become a gussied up University Ave. and help reconnect the city to the waterfront. The takedown, from Spadina Ave. eastward, would cost $500 million, plus another $250 million to extend Front St. or does it make sense to spend over $700 million to cover the deficit on Expo2015?
 
billonlogan:

Fung mention in The Star today, it would cost about $750 million to tear down the Gardiner and Lake Shore Blvd. would become a gussied up University Ave. and help reconnect the city to the waterfront. The takedown, from Spadina Ave. eastward, would cost $500 million, plus another $250 million to extend Front St. or does it make sense to spend over $700 million to cover the deficit on Expo2015?

Why should it be a "either-or" proposition? These choosing one over the other exercises are exactly what lead to getting nothing done on the waterfront.

AoD
 
Thanks for the pics, thenay.

wylie:

I share your concern with regards to the placement of the legacy buildings and their impact on future developments in the area. In fact, I would prefer them either kept to a minimium, or designed in such a manner that could be actively recycled elsewhere.

As to the issue of the Portlands connectivity - I think a lot of it hinges on the EA processes (Transit, Don Mouth Naturalization, etc) - the Expo will have to deal with the outcome of that, not the other way around.

AoD
 
I wish these people looking at Expo would be a little more realistic. A Cable Car experience out over the water of an operating port? A whole chapter dedicated to the Island Airport site eventhough it is now having a terminal building built, a new ferry purchased, new aircraft bought, and is (like it or not) going to have an airline based at it taking flight this fall. Martin and Miller might have been able to shut down the airport when the bridge was killed and Air Ontario operated one measly flight to Ottawa each weekday but now that the feds are Conservative, an airline is months away from its first flight, and new ferry facilities are being built the chances of Expo using the Airport site are close to nil.
 

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