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Y'all were saying? I reckon I was on to something.

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Yeah, the CPC have been saying they'll push a confidence vote for a week now on carbon pricing. The BQ have said they won't bring the government down.
 
If Trudeau is Prime Minister or not the Liberals face another byelection before the end of the year:


More baleful byelections are brewing for the Trudeau Liberals after the fall of St. Paul's​

These looming battlegrounds, most currently held by the Liberals, could either signal a turnaround for the party, or add to their growing sense of demise

Cloverdale—Langley City​



Previously: Liberal



Expected byelection: Before Jan. 4, 2025




The most daunting challenge for the Liberals could be holding onto the riding of Cloverdale—Langley City, in British Columbia’s Lower Mainland.



The riding has been hard fought between the Liberals and Conservatives for the last three elections, with only narrow margins of victory for either party. MP John Aldag announced he would be stepping down and formally resigned at the end of May. He is seeking to run for the British Columbia NDP in the provincial election expected this fall.



Trudeau will have to announce the date of the byelection before the end of November.



In 2021, Aldag and the Liberals won the riding by about three points, roughly the same margin that decided the race in 2019 when Conservative Tamara Jansen won, and has announced she will run again. It has become a much fiercer battleground over the years than it was in 2015, when Aldag won the riding by nearly 10 percentage points.
 

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