sixrings
Senior Member
I’m just confused how “the demographic of the residents in suburbs that feed that line are exactly those who are most able to work from home.” Do all homes in Milton and Mississauga come with home offices while Barrie, Ajax, aurora, Vaughan don’t.I can half agree with you - in that, any transit investment that relies on a pre-covid business case assuming high peak period commuting demand needs a revisit to see if the numbers will still be there.
As to the Milton line, the demographic of the residents in suburbs that feed that line are exactly those who are most able to work from home. Whereas, the transit pro's I talk to tell me that the transit demands of the logistics centers that run along Steeles/Hiway 7 from Highway 400 over to Highway 25 are now virtually insatiable, and their shift work patterns are far from 9 to 5 ish. Perhaps some of the money that would be required to upgrade the Milton line is better spent (in terms of revenue and riders per $M invested) on that ridership, and sooner.
GO RER is still defensible as a regional network and better choice than highway travel, - but it may plateau as a 15-20 minute headway service serving non-commuting travellers with non-employment needs. The vision of peak ridership demanding 5 - 7.5 minute headways, bringing hordes into downtownToronto employment locations, may not materialise as quickly as previously thought. For 2WAD, 5 - 7.5 minute headways may be decades away.
If Milton RER goes ahead, I'm certainly not going to complain. But I do think there has been a shift in the underlying tectonic plates, and we need to recalibrate and not assume what might in the past have seemed to be a no-brainer business case.
- Paul
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